Wednesday, July 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Archie Bradley vs. Jimmy Nelson
The Arizona Diamondbacks head to Miller Park on Wednesday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Archie Bradley for the Diamondbacks and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has Arizona at +131 and Milwaukee at -141. The over/under is 9. The Diamondbacks have a 52-44-3 over/under mark and a 41-58-0 run line record, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Brewers are 51-46-0 against the run line and have a 45-46-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Diamondbacks head into this game with a 41-58 record, and they are 24-23 on the road. Starting pitcher Archie Bradley has a 3-6 record with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.45. He has 73 strikeouts during his 75 innings pitched and he has given up 71 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.7. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.56 and they have allowed 339 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the pen while they've been struck out 299 times and walked 150 times this year. As a unit, Arizona has given up 9.55 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.03 hitters per nine. They are 27th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.83. The Diamondbacks pitchers have collectively given up 945 base hits and 478 earned runs. They have allowed 120 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 362 batters and struck out 795. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.46.
As a team, Arizona is hitting .265, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .265 average on the road. The Diamondbacks have a .433 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .322 which is good for 18th in the league. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.23 hits per contest. Jean Segura comes into this game hitting .315 and his on-base percentage is at .362. He has 123 hits this season along with 58 runs scored and 39 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 22 times. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .294 and he has an on-base percentage of .412. He has totaled 104 hits so far while scoring 58 runs and he's driven in 63. He has walked 69 times and has struck out 92 times. The Diamondbacks have 914 hits, including 170 doubles and 113 home runs. They've stolen 68 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 21 times. Arizona has walked 274 times this season and they've struck out 878 times as a unit. They've left 688 men on base and have a team OPS of .755. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 436 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a 25-24 home mark and a 42-55 overall record. With an ERA of 3.40, Jimmy Nelson has a 6-8 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 86 strikeouts over the 119 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 110 hits. He has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.7. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.94 and they have given up 328 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 303 times and walking 137 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.39 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 882 base knocks and 411 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 112 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 340 hitters and struck out 704. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.53.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .248 average at home. The Brewers hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.05 hits per contest. Jonathan Lucroy comes into this matchup batting .301 and he has an OBP of .361. He has 98 hits this year along with 46 runs scored and 50 RBI. He's struck out 69 times and has walked on 32 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .323 and he has an OBP of .382. He has collected 103 hits so far while he's scored 47 runs and drove in 46. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 57 times. The Brewers as a unit have 781 base hits, including 147 doubles and 102 homers. They have 95 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 359 times this year and they have struck out 933 times. They've had 663 men left on base and have an OPS of .717. They score 4.01 runs per game and have totaled 389 runs so far this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 52-44-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 41-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 45-46-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 51-46-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/24/16 SS Nick Ahmed Hip 15-day DL (7/23)
07/17/16 C Chris Herrmann Hamstring 15-day DL (7/17)
07/07/16 P Andrew Chafin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
07/03/16 P Zack Greinke Oblique 15-day DL (6/29)
06/24/16 CF Socrates Brito Toe 15-day DL (6/23)
06/20/16 RF David Peralta Back 15-day DL (6/19)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 60-day DL (5/26)
04/02/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2), out for season
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers
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