Thursday, September 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Robbie Ray vs. Joe Ross
The Arizona Diamondbacks visit Nationals Park on Thursday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Robbie Ray for the Diamondbacks and Joe Ross for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has Arizona at +147 and Washington at -157. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Diamondbacks have a 87-64-6 over/under record and a 64-93-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Nationals are 81-76-0 against the run line and have a 73-76-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Diamondbacks head into this matchup with a 65-92 record, including 35-44 on the road. Starting pitcher Robbie Ray has a 8-14 record with an earned run average of 4.77 and a WHIP of 1.46. He has 215 strikeouts over his 169.2 innings pitched and he has given up 180 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.58. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.98 and they have given up 573 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the bullpen while being struck out 506 times and walking 259 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.72 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.16 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.14. The Diamondbacks pitchers have collectively given up 1,524 base hits and 806 earned runs. They have allowed 199 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 595 batters and struck out 1,279. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 4.55.
As a team, Arizona is batting .261, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Diamondbacks hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.17 hits per game. Paul Goldschmidt comes into this game hitting .299 and his on-base percentage is at .413. He has 168 hits this season along with 103 runs scored and 91 runs batted in. He's struck out 146 times and has walked 108 times. Jean Segura is hitting .316 and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 197 hits so far while scoring 95 runs and he's driven in 64. He has walked 35 times and has struck out 99 times. The Diamondbacks have 1,440 hits, including 281 doubles and 184 home runs. They've stolen 127 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Arizona has walked 449 times this season and they've struck out 1,396 times as a unit. They've left 1,089 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.64 runs per contest and have scored a total of 729 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 47-29 home record and a 92-65 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.48, Joe Ross has a 7-5 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 101 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 105 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.54. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.38 and they have given up 414 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 474 times and walking 158 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.79 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.13 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.50. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,228 base knocks and 551 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 151 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 451 hitters and struck out 1,439. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.18 while their FIP as a staff is 3.57.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Nationals hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.71 hits per contest. Daniel Murphy comes into this matchup batting .347 and he has an OBP of .391. He has 184 hits this year along with 88 runs scored and 104 RBI. He's struck out 57 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Bryce Harper is hitting .244 and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 121 hits so far while he's scored 83 runs and drove in 85. He has earned a walk 106 times and has punched out 109 times. The Nationals as a unit have 1,367 base hits, including 264 doubles and 197 homers. They have 115 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 37 times. Washington as a team has walked 517 times this year and they have struck out 1,217 times. They've had 1,077 men left on base and have an OPS of .751. They score 4.73 runs per game and have totaled 742 runs so far this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 87-64-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 64-93-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 73-76-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 81-76-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/26/16 P Zack Greinke Shoulder out for season
09/16/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow out for season
09/11/16 CF A.J. Pollock Groin out indefinitely
09/10/16 C Chris Herrmann Hand out indefinitely
08/07/16 RF David Peralta Wrist 60-day DL (8/6), out for season
07/24/16 SS Nick Ahmed Hip 60-day DL (7/23); out for season
09/27/16 RF Bryce Harper Thumb "?" Wednesday vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
09/27/16 2B Daniel Murphy Buttocks expected to miss Wednesday and Thursday vs Arizona Diamondbacks
09/27/16 C Wilson Ramos Knee out for season
09/12/16 P Mat Latos Hamstring "?" for next scheduled start
09/09/16 P Stephen Strasburg Elbow out indefinitely
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Tony's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks
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