Tuesday, August 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tyrell Jenkins vs. Wily Peralta
The Atlanta Braves visit Miller Park on Tuesday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Tyrell Jenkins for the Braves and Wily Peralta for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +130 and Milwaukee at -140. The over/under was set at 9. The Braves have a 50-54-7 over/under record and a 53-58-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Brewers are 58-51-0 against the run line and have a 51-51-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Braves head into this matchup with a 41-70 record, including 23-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Tyrell Jenkins has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 4.33 and a WHIP of 1.67. He has 17 strikeouts over his 35.1 innings pitched and he has given up 35 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.5. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 356 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen while being struck out 370 times and walking 181 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.58 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.53 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 954 base hits and 482 earned runs. They have allowed 120 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 389 batters and struck out 837. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .244, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .240 average away from home. The Braves hold a .360 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.33 hits per game. Freddie Freeman comes into this game hitting .278 and his on-base percentage is at .366. He has 116 hits this season along with 58 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 127 times and has walked 51 times. Nick Markakis is hitting .272 and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 112 hits so far while scoring 44 runs and he's driven in 59. He has walked 50 times and has struck out 69 times. The Braves have 925 hits, including 189 doubles and 70 home runs. They've stolen 55 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 25 times. Atlanta has walked 318 times this season and they've struck out 845 times as a unit. They've left 788 men on base and have a team OPS of .667. They score 3.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 395 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 30-25 home record and a 49-60 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.68, Wily Peralta has a 4-7 record and a 1.88 WHIP. He has 42 strikeouts over the 66 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 97 hits. He has allowed 13.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.59. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.90 and they have given up 365 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 345 times and walking 149 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.19 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.49 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 984 base knocks and 458 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 124 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 378 hitters and struck out 802. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.46.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Brewers hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.15 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .306 and he has an OBP of .391. He has 122 hits this year along with 61 runs scored and 41 RBI. He's struck out 118 times and has walked on 57 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .321 and he has an OBP of .385. He has collected 110 hits so far while he's scored 55 runs and drove in 56. He has earned a walk 34 times and has punched out 60 times. The Brewers as a unit have 888 base hits, including 165 doubles and 117 homers. They have 116 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 417 times this year and they have struck out 1,042 times. They've had 755 men left on base and have an OPS of .727. They score 4.09 runs per game and have totaled 446 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 50-54-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 53-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 51-51-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 58-51-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/02/16 P Julio Teheran Back 15-day DL (7/31)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 15-day DL (7/31)
07/16/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Oblique 15-day DL (7/15)
07/12/16 C Tyler Flowers Hand 15-day DL (7/10)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (6/7)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
08/08/16 P Junior Guerra Elbow expected to miss next scheduled start Tuesday vs. Atlanta Braves
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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