Monday, May 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Foltynewicz vs. Bartolo Colon
The Atlanta Braves visit Citi Field on Monday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Mike Foltynewicz for the Braves and Bartolo Colon for the Mets. The Braves have a 13-7-3 over/under record and a 10-13-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Mets are 11-11-0 against the run line and have a 12-9-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Braves head into this matchup with a 5-18 record, including 4-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Foltynewicz will be making his season debut for the Braves. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.10 and they have given up 84 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the bullpen while being struck out 86 times and walking 48 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.05. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 210 base hits and 115 earned runs. They have allowed 25 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 94 batters and struck out 180. They walk 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.48 and their FIP as a unit is 4.36.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .229, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .223 average away from home. The Braves hold a .289 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .229 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 7.74 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .302 and his on-base percentage is at .406. He has 26 hits this season along with 9 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 15 times and has walked 13 times. Adonis Garcia is hitting .282 and he has an on-base percentage of .351. He has totaled 24 hits so far while scoring 7 runs and he's driven in 6. He has walked 7 times and has struck out 18 times. The Braves have 178 hits, including 32 doubles and 5 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Atlanta has walked 73 times this season and they've struck out 200 times as a unit. They've left 167 men on base and have a team OPS of .590. They score 3.26 runs per contest and have scored a total of 75 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 7-4 home record and a 15-7 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.42, Bartolo Colon has a 1-1 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 23.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 26 hits. He has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.31. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.71 and they have given up 64 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 83 times and walking 26 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.47 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 2.78. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 194 base knocks and 61 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 9 home runs this year and they give up 0.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 56 hitters and struck out 208. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 2.44.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .230 average at home. The Mets hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .255 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.68 hits per contest. Neil Walker comes into this matchup batting .307 and he has an OBP of .337. He has 27 hits this year along with 13 runs scored and 19 RBI. He's struck out 19 times and has walked on 4 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .300 and he has an OBP of .364. He has collected 24 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 7. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 14 times. The Mets as a unit have 191 base hits, including 40 doubles and 33 homers. They have 5 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. New York as a team has walked 75 times this year and they have struck out 189 times. They've had 158 men left on base and have an OPS of .782. They score 4.86 runs per game and have totaled 107 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 13-7-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 10-13-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 12-9-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 11-11-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/18/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (4/17)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/11/16 RF Ender Inciarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/9)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
New York Mets
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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