Friday, May 20, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Wisler vs. Aaron Nola
The Atlanta Braves visit Citizens Bank Park on Friday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Matt Wisler for the Braves and Aaron Nola for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +150 and Philadelphia at -160. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Braves have a 19-16-4 over/under record and a 15-24-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 39% of the time. The Phillies are 22-19-0 against the run line and have a 17-22-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
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The Braves head into this matchup with a 10-29 record, including 8-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Wisler has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 3.14 and a WHIP of 0.99. He has 32 strikeouts over his 48.2 innings pitched and he has given up 37 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.97. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.76 and they have given up 136 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the bullpen while being struck out 144 times and walking 65 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.03 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.75 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 353 base hits and 180 earned runs. They have allowed 41 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 136 batters and struck out 303. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.18.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .235, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .235 average away from home. The Braves hold a .316 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.03 hits per game. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .264 and his on-base percentage is at .372. He has 38 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 22 runs batted in. He's struck out 27 times and has walked 24 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .275 and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 39 hits so far while scoring 17 runs and he's driven in 11. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 41 times. The Braves have 313 hits, including 60 doubles and 14 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Atlanta has walked 111 times this season and they've struck out 318 times as a unit. They've left 274 men on base and have a team OPS of .615. They score 3.23 runs per contest and have scored a total of 126 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 12-7 home record and a 24-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.89, Aaron Nola has a 3-2 record and a 0.85 WHIP. He has 58 strikeouts over the 53 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 36 hits. He has allowed 6.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.14. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.91 and they have given up 121 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 134 times and walking 56 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 7.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.79. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 325 base knocks and 154 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 46 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 118 hitters and struck out 374. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 3.69.
As a team, they are batting .235, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .231 average at home. The Phillies hold a .362 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.61 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .333 and he has an OBP of .443. He has 48 hits this year along with 25 runs scored and 13 RBI. He's struck out 29 times and has walked on 29 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .243 and he has an OBP of .285. He has collected 37 hits so far while he's scored 12 runs and drove in 23. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 31 times. The Phillies as a unit have 312 base hits, including 56 doubles and 31 homers. They have 16 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 106 times this year and they have struck out 322 times. They've had 246 men left on base and have an OPS of .655. They score 3.32 runs per game and have totaled 136 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 19-16-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 15-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 17-22-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 22-19-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/11/16 P Jim Johnson Groin 15-day DL (5/9)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
05/18/16 CF Odubel Herrera Back "?" Friday vs Atlanta Braves
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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