Tuesday, July 5, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Foltynewicz vs. Zach Eflin
The Atlanta Braves head to Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable pitchers are Mike Foltynewicz for the Braves and Zach Eflin for the Phillies. The opening line for this game has Atlanta at +122 and Philadelphia at -132. The over/under is 8.5. The Braves have a 37-39-6 over/under mark and a 36-46-0 run line record, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Phillies are 41-42-0 against the run line and have a 41-40-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Braves head into this game with a 28-54 record, and they are 15-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Foltynewicz has a 2-2 record with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.27. He has 30 strikeouts during his 36.1 innings pitched and he has given up 36 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.1. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have allowed 274 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the pen while they've been struck out 288 times and walked 141 times this year. As a unit, Atlanta has given up 8.58 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.81 hitters per nine. They are 15th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.31. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 712 base hits and 358 earned runs. They have allowed 85 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 283 batters and struck out 648. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.
As a team, Atlanta is hitting .238, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .235 average on the road. The Braves have a .342 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .302 which is good for 28th in the league. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.12 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .253 and his on-base percentage is at .332. He has 78 hits this season along with 32 runs scored and 42 runs batted in. He's struck out 51 times and has walked 37 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .292 and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 90 hits so far while scoring 39 runs and he's driven in 31. He has walked 36 times and has struck out 89 times. The Braves have 666 hits, including 133 doubles and 43 home runs. They've stolen 44 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Atlanta has walked 229 times this season and they've struck out 632 times as a unit. They've left 584 men on base and have a team OPS of .644. They score 3.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 280 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this game with a 18-23 home mark and a 37-46 overall record. With an ERA of 5.75, Zach Eflin has a 0-2 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 9 strikeouts over the 20.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 24 hits. He has allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.43. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 268 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 271 times and walking 106 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.11 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.75 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 742 base knocks and 354 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 107 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 228 hitters and struck out 713. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .220 average at home. The Phillies hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.9 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .301 and he has an OBP of .390. He has 91 hits this year along with 47 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 60 times and has walked on 43 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .258 and he has an OBP of .315. He has collected 74 hits so far while he's scored 28 runs and drove in 45. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 59 times. The Phillies as a unit have 656 base hits, including 120 doubles and 76 homers. They have 34 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 27 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 193 times this year and they have struck out 651 times. They've had 493 men left on base and have an OPS of .676. They score 3.51 runs per game and have totaled 291 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 37-39-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 36-46-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 41-40-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 41-42-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/03/16 CF Ender Inciarte Groin "?" Monday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
07/01/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies
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