Wednesday, July 6, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
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Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. Jeremy Hellickson
The Atlanta Braves head to Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable pitchers are Julio Teheran for the Braves and Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies. The opening line for this game has Atlanta at -115 and Philadelphia at +105. The over/under is 7.5. The Braves have a 38-39-6 over/under mark and a 36-47-0 run line record, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Phillies are 42-42-0 against the run line and have a 42-40-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Braves head into this game with a 28-55 record, and they are 15-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran has a 3-7 record with an ERA of 2.72 and a WHIP of 0.93. He has 105 strikeouts during his 112.2 innings pitched and he has given up 81 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.83. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have allowed 277 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the pen while they've been struck out 288 times and walked 142 times this year. As a unit, Atlanta has given up 8.63 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.77 hitters per nine. They are 16th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.33. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 724 base hits and 363 earned runs. They have allowed 87 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 284 batters and struck out 652. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.
As a team, Atlanta is hitting .237, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .233 average on the road. The Braves have a .341 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .301 which is good for 28th in the league. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.1 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this game hitting .254 and his on-base percentage is at .334. He has 79 hits this season along with 32 runs scored and 43 runs batted in. He's struck out 52 times and has walked 38 times. Freddie Freeman is hitting .292 and he has an on-base percentage of .374. He has totaled 91 hits so far while scoring 40 runs and he's driven in 31. He has walked 36 times and has struck out 91 times. The Braves have 672 hits, including 134 doubles and 44 home runs. They've stolen 44 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Atlanta has walked 232 times this season and they've struck out 641 times as a unit. They've left 592 men on base and have a team OPS of .642. They score 3.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 282 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this game with a 19-23 home mark and a 38-46 overall record. With an ERA of 4.06, Jeremy Hellickson has a 6-6 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 90 strikeouts over the 99.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 96 hits. He has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.32. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 269 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 272 times and walking 106 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.07 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.76 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 748 base knocks and 356 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 108 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 231 hitters and struck out 722. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.14.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .223 average at home. The Phillies hold a .387 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.95 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .303 and he has an OBP of .390. He has 93 hits this year along with 48 runs scored and 32 RBI. He's struck out 61 times and has walked on 43 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .258 and he has an OBP of .315. He has collected 75 hits so far while he's scored 29 runs and drove in 47. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 60 times. The Phillies as a unit have 668 base hits, including 125 doubles and 78 homers. They have 34 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 27 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 194 times this year and they have struck out 655 times. They've had 498 men left on base and have an OPS of .681. They score 3.56 runs per game and have totaled 299 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 38-39-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 36-47-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 42-40-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 42-42-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/05/16 CF Ender Inciarte Groin is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
07/01/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies
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