Tuesday, April 12, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jhoulys Chacin vs. Gio Gonzalez
The Atlanta Braves visit Nationals Park on Tuesday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Jhoulys Chacin for the Braves and Gio Gonzalez for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +207 and Washington at -225. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Braves have a 3-1-1 over/under record and a 1-4-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 20% of the time. The Nationals are 2-2-0 against the run line and have a 1-2-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Braves head into this matchup with a 0-5 record. Starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin held a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.28 last season. He had 21 strikeouts over his 26.2 innings pitched and he also gave up 24 hits over that time period. He allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.63. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 8.66 and they have given up 24 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .308 against the bullpen while being struck out 23 times and walking 14 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.98 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 6.65. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 51 base hits and 34 earned runs. They have allowed 8 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 27 batters and struck out 45. They walk 5.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.70 and their FIP as a unit is 5.54.
As a team, Atlanta is batting .198, good for 29th in the league. The Braves hold a .290 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 6.4 hits per game. Freddie Freeman comes into this game hitting .125 and his on-base percentage is at .333. He has 2 hits this season along with 1 run scored and 2 runs batted in. He's struck out 6 times and has walked 4 times. Adonis Garcia is hitting .267 and he has an on-base percentage of .450. He has totaled 4 hits so far while scoring 2 runs and he's driven in 2. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 5 times. The Braves have 32 hits, including 6 doubles, 0 triples, and 3 home runs. They've stolen 3 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 1 time. Atlanta has walked 25 times this season and they've struck out 48 times as a unit. They've left 37 men on base and have a team OPS of .595. They score 3.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 17 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 1-1 home record and a 3-1 overall mark. With an earned run average last season of 3.79, Gio Gonzalez had a 11-8 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He had 169 strikeouts over the 175.2 innings he pitched during which he gave up 181 hits. He allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.05. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.77 and they have given up 9 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .191 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 14 times and walking 4 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.03 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 2.68. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 32 base knocks and 11 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 3 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 14 hitters and struck out 33. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.70.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .262 average at home. The Nationals hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.25 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .385 and he has an OBP of .556. He has 5 hits this year along with 4 runs scored and 3 RBI. He's struck out 0 times and has walked on 5 occasions. Yunel Escobar is hitting .273 and he has an OBP of .385. He has collected 6 hits so far while he's scored 4 runs and drove in 2. He has earned a walk 4 times and has punched out 2 times. The Nationals as a unit have 33 base hits, including 8 doubles, 1 triple, and 3 homers. They have 2 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 2 times. Washington as a team has walked 21 times this year and they have struck out 33 times. They've had 36 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They score 3.75 runs per game and have totaled 15 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 3-1-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 1-4-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 1-2-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 2-2-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/11/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow out indefinitely
04/11/16 RF Ender Inciarte Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/9)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/07/16 LF Ben Revere Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/5)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/1)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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