Wednesday, June 15, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Steven Wright
The Baltimore Orioles visit Fenway Park on Wednesday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Kevin Gausman for the Orioles and Steven Wright for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +138 and Boston at -148. The over/under was set at 8. The Orioles have a 31-28-3 over/under record and a 35-27-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Red Sox are 36-26-0 against the run line and have a 34-23-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 58% of the time.
The Orioles head into this matchup with a 36-26 record, including 12-15 on the road. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 0-3 record with an earned run average of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.22. He has 54 strikeouts over his 60 innings pitched and he has given up 58 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.33. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.00 and they have given up 198 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen while being struck out 192 times and walking 78 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.18 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.58 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 561 base hits and 253 earned runs. They have allowed 66 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 203 batters and struck out 463. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .260, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .260 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .459 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.84 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .308 and his on-base percentage is at .376. He has 77 hits this season along with 47 runs scored and 39 runs batted in. He's struck out 51 times and has walked 26 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .286 and he has an on-base percentage of .337. He has totaled 70 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 71 times. The Orioles have 548 hits, including 115 doubles and 99 home runs. They've stolen 11 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. Baltimore has walked 200 times this season and they've struck out 531 times as a unit. They've left 411 men on base and have a team OPS of .785. They score 4.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 299 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 19-12 home record and a 36-26 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.09, Steven Wright has a 7-4 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 70 strikeouts over the 82 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 60 hits. He has allowed 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.2. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 155 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 210 times and walking 83 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.08 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.59 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 497 base knocks and 260 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 222 hitters and struck out 530. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.18.
As a team, they are batting .291, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .301 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .357 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.45 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .359 and he has an OBP of .405. He has 94 hits this year along with 51 runs scored and 44 RBI. He's struck out 44 times and has walked on 20 occasions. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .311 and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 78 hits so far while he's scored 44 runs and drove in 27. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 36 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 648 base hits, including 159 doubles and 77 homers. They have 45 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Boston as a team has walked 215 times this year and they have struck out 455 times. They've had 453 men left on base and have an OPS of .839. They score 5.95 runs per game and have totaled 369 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 31-28-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 35-27-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 34-23-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 36-26-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
05/31/16 C Caleb Joseph Groin 15-day DL (5/30)
05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
Boston Red Sox
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 15-day DL (6/5)
06/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Neck 15-day DL (6/5)
06/05/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 15-day DL (6/2)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles
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