Monday, September 12, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. David Price
The Baltimore Orioles visit Fenway Park on Monday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Wade Miley for the Orioles and David Price for the Red Sox. The Orioles have a 63-75-3 over/under record and a 73-68-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Red Sox are 72-69-0 against the run line and have a 70-65-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Orioles head into this matchup with a 77-64 record, including 32-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Wade Miley has a 8-12 record with an earned run average of 5.49 and a WHIP of 1.43. He has 114 strikeouts over his 146 innings pitched and he has given up 162 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.77. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 444 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen while being struck out 436 times and walking 189 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.78 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.39. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 1,242 base hits and 606 earned runs. They have allowed 164 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 487 batters and struck out 1,074. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.41.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .261, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .256 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.93 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .305 and his on-base percentage is at .357. He has 170 hits this season along with 98 runs scored and 90 runs batted in. He's struck out 101 times and has walked 45 times. Adam Jones is hitting .281 and he has an on-base percentage of .322. He has totaled 150 hits so far while scoring 81 runs and he's driven in 80. He has walked 32 times and has struck out 99 times. The Orioles have 1,258 hits, including 243 doubles and 224 home runs. They've stolen 16 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Baltimore has walked 408 times this season and they've struck out 1,153 times as a unit. They've left 925 men on base and have a team OPS of .773. They score 4.78 runs per contest and have scored a total of 674 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 41-30 home record and a 79-62 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.87, David Price has a 15-8 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 201 strikeouts over the 197.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 194 hits. He has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.33. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.80 and they have given up 362 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 430 times and walking 159 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.41 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,183 base knocks and 566 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 153 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 423 hitters and struck out 1,170. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.02.
As a team, they are batting .286, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .304 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .467 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.06 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .315 and he has an OBP of .356. He has 187 hits this year along with 107 runs scored and 101 RBI. He's struck out 78 times and has walked on 40 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .298 and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 171 hits so far while he's scored 100 runs and drove in 81. He has earned a walk 49 times and has punched out 107 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,419 base hits, including 311 doubles and 181 homers. They have 76 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Boston as a team has walked 479 times this year and they have struck out 1,023 times. They've had 1,020 men left on base and have an OPS of .818. They score 5.52 runs per game and have totaled 779 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 63-75-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 73-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 70-65-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 72-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
08/24/16 P Chris Tillman Shoulder 15-day DL (8/21), expected to be activated & start Sunday vs. Detroit Tigers
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
Boston Red Sox
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
08/25/16 LF Andrew Benintendi Knee 15-day DL (8/25)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles
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