Saturday, October 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. Masahiro Tanaka
The Baltimore Orioles visit Yankee Stadium on Saturday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Wade Miley for the Orioles and Masahiro Tanaka for the Yankees. The Orioles have a 65-90-4 over/under record and a 80-79-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Yankees are 80-79-0 against the run line and have a 70-79-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Orioles head into this matchup with a 87-72 record, including 37-41 on the road. Starting pitcher Wade Miley has a 9-13 record with an earned run average of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.41. He has 128 strikeouts over his 160 innings pitched and he has given up 178 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.51. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.37 and they have given up 489 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen while being struck out 498 times and walking 204 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.85 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.84 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 1,383 base hits and 661 earned runs. They have allowed 181 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 534 batters and struck out 1,225. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .256, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .253 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.73 hits per game. Adam Jones comes into this game hitting .269 and his on-base percentage is at .314. He has 163 hits this season along with 85 runs scored and 82 runs batted in. He's struck out 112 times and has walked 38 times. Manny Machado is hitting .296 and he has an on-base percentage of .346. He has totaled 186 hits so far while scoring 103 runs and he's driven in 95. He has walked 47 times and has struck out 116 times. The Orioles have 1,387 hits, including 261 doubles and 247 home runs. They've stolen 19 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Baltimore has walked 455 times this season and they've struck out 1,301 times as a unit. They've left 1,045 men on base and have a team OPS of .760. They score 4.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 728 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 47-31 home record and a 83-76 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.07, Masahiro Tanaka has a 14-4 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 165 strikeouts over the 199.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 179 hits. He has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.51. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.70 and they have given up 416 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 569 times and walking 176 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,332 base knocks and 644 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 208 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 431 hitters and struck out 1,370. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.
As a team, they are batting .252, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Yankees hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.5 hits per contest. Brett Gardner comes into this matchup batting .261 and he has an OBP of .352. He has 140 hits this year along with 80 runs scored and 39 RBI. He's struck out 104 times and has walked on 70 occasions. Didi Gregorius is hitting .275 and he has an OBP of .304. He has collected 153 hits so far while he's scored 68 runs and drove in 69. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 82 times. The Yankees as a unit have 1,352 base hits, including 241 doubles and 181 homers. They have 70 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. New York as a team has walked 464 times this year and they have struck out 1,165 times. They've had 1,075 men left on base and have an OPS of .720. They score 4.21 runs per game and have totaled 670 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 65-90-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 80-79-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 70-79-10 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 80-79-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/29/16 P Wade Miley Personal paternity list; expected to start Saturday
09/18/16 RF Steve Pearce Elbow 60-day DL (9/18)
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
New York Yankees
09/15/16 RF Aaron Judge Oblique out for regular season
09/08/16 P Chad Green Elbow 60-day DL (9/3)
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles
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