Saturday, July 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Yovani Gallardo vs. J.A. Happ
The Baltimore Orioles visit Rogers Centre on Saturday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Yovani Gallardo for the Orioles and J.A. Happ for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +158 and Toronto at -168. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Orioles have a 45-53-3 over/under record and a 54-47-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Blue Jays are 53-49-0 against the run line and have a 41-56-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Orioles head into this matchup with a 58-43 record, including 21-27 on the road. Starting pitcher Yovani Gallardo has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 5.37 and a WHIP of 1.63. He has 43 strikeouts over his 62 innings pitched and he has given up 68 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.07. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.09 and they have given up 308 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen while being struck out 313 times and walking 136 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.98 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.62 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 893 base hits and 419 earned runs. They have allowed 112 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 348 batters and struck out 758. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .265, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.11 hits per game. Mark Trumbo comes into this game hitting .273 and his on-base percentage is at .327. He has 109 hits this season along with 57 runs scored and 73 runs batted in. He's struck out 110 times and has walked 30 times. Manny Machado is hitting .308 and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 120 hits so far while scoring 68 runs and he's driven in 57. He has walked 35 times and has struck out 74 times. The Orioles have 920 hits, including 184 doubles and 151 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Baltimore has walked 295 times this season and they've struck out 840 times as a unit. They've left 675 men on base and have a team OPS of .776. They score 4.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 480 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 30-23 home record and a 57-45 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.27, J.A. Happ has a 13-3 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 100 strikeouts over the 124 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 109 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.99. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 275 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 272 times and walking 79 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.77 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.85. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 850 base knocks and 395 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 121 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 283 hitters and struck out 797. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.
As a team, they are batting .251, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .262 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.53 hits per contest. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this matchup batting .262 and he has an OBP of .353. He has 98 hits this year along with 62 runs scored and 87 RBI. He's struck out 89 times and has walked on 51 occasions. Josh Donaldson is hitting .301 and he has an OBP of .411. He has collected 115 hits so far while he's scored 86 runs and drove in 74. He has earned a walk 67 times and has punched out 74 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 870 base hits, including 180 doubles and 144 homers. They have 33 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Toronto as a team has walked 389 times this year and they have struck out 839 times. They've had 695 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They score 4.91 runs per game and have totaled 501 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 45-53-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 54-47-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 41-56-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 53-49-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/22/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P T.J. McFarland Knee 15-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
Toronto Blue Jays
07/02/16 2B Ryan Goins Forearm 15-day DL (7/2)
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles
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