Tuesday, October 4, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Chris Tillman vs. Marcus Stroman
The Baltimore Orioles visit Rogers Centre on Tuesday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Chris Tillman for the Orioles and Marcus Stroman for the Blue Jays. The Orioles have a 67-91-4 over/under record and a 82-80-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Blue Jays are 79-83-0 against the run line and have a 63-93-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Orioles head into this matchup with a 89-73 record, including 39-42 on the road. Starting pitcher Chris Tillman has a 16-6 record with an earned run average of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.29. He has 140 strikeouts over his 172 innings pitched and he has given up 155 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.23. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have given up 495 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen while being struck out 506 times and walking 209 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.85 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.84 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 1,408 base hits and 671 earned runs. They have allowed 183 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 545 batters and struck out 1,248. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.31.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .253 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.73 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .294 and his on-base percentage is at .343. He has 188 hits this season along with 105 runs scored and 96 runs batted in. He's struck out 120 times and has walked 48 times. Adam Jones is hitting .265 and he has an on-base percentage of .310. He has totaled 164 hits so far while scoring 86 runs and he's driven in 83. He has walked 39 times and has struck out 115 times. The Orioles have 1,413 hits, including 265 doubles and 253 home runs. They've stolen 19 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 13 times. Baltimore has walked 468 times this season and they've struck out 1,324 times as a unit. They've left 1,065 men on base and have a team OPS of .760. They score 4.59 runs per contest and have scored a total of 744 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 46-35 home record and a 89-73 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.37, Marcus Stroman has a 9-10 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 166 strikeouts over the 204 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 209 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.71. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.11 and they have given up 452 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 472 times and walking 136 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.78. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,340 base knocks and 613 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 183 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 461 hitters and struck out 1,314. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.38 hits per contest. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this matchup batting .263 and he has an OBP of .357. He has 158 hits this year along with 99 runs scored and 127 RBI. He's struck out 138 times and has walked on 87 occasions. Josh Donaldson is hitting .284 and he has an OBP of .404. He has collected 164 hits so far while he's scored 122 runs and drove in 99. He has earned a walk 109 times and has punched out 119 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,358 base hits, including 276 doubles and 221 homers. They have 54 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Toronto as a team has walked 632 times this year and they have struck out 1,362 times. They've had 1,120 men left on base and have an OPS of .755. They score 4.69 runs per game and have totaled 759 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 67-91-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 82-80-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 63-93-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 79-83-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/18/16 RF Steve Pearce Elbow 60-day DL (9/18)
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
Toronto Blue Jays
09/27/16 P Joaquin Benoit Calf out indefinitely
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles
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