Wednesday, September 28, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Clay Buchholz vs. Bryan Mitchell
The Boston Red Sox visit Yankee Stadium on Wednesday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Clay Buchholz for the Red Sox and Bryan Mitchell for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -171 and New York at +161. The over/under was set at 8. The Red Sox have a 76-73-7 over/under record and a 81-75-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Yankees are 77-79-0 against the run line and have a 69-77-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 92-64 record, including 46-32 on the road. Starting pitcher Clay Buchholz has a 8-10 record with an earned run average of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.37. He has 87 strikeouts over his 133.1 innings pitched and he has given up 129 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.18. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.51 and they have given up 396 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 495 times and walking 177 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.39 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.54 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,294 base hits and 615 earned runs. They have allowed 170 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 459 batters and struck out 1,317. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.96.
As a team, Boston is batting .285, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .266 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .467 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .293 and his on-base percentage is at .355. He has 184 hits this season along with 113 runs scored and 88 runs batted in. He's struck out 118 times and has walked 56 times. Mookie Betts is hitting .321 and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 209 hits so far while scoring 119 runs and he's driven in 109. He has walked 49 times and has struck out 80 times. The Red Sox have 1,560 hits, including 336 doubles and 204 home runs. They've stolen 81 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 23 times. Boston has walked 534 times this season and they've struck out 1,123 times as a unit. They've left 1,121 men on base and have a team OPS of .817. They score 5.52 runs per contest and have scored a total of 861 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 44-31 home record and a 80-76 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.50, Bryan Mitchell has a 1-2 record and a 1.72 WHIP. He has 9 strikeouts over the 18 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 24 hits. He has allowed 12 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.03. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.69 and they have given up 408 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 562 times and walking 171 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.85 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,314 base knocks and 640 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 206 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 418 hitters and struck out 1,351. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.16.
As a team, they are batting .252, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Yankees hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.51 hits per contest. Brett Gardner comes into this matchup batting .259 and he has an OBP of .348. He has 137 hits this year along with 79 runs scored and 39 RBI. He's struck out 103 times and has walked on 67 occasions. Didi Gregorius is hitting .276 and he has an OBP of .305. He has collected 150 hits so far while he's scored 67 runs and drove in 68. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 81 times. The Yankees as a unit have 1,328 base hits, including 238 doubles and 177 homers. They have 68 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. New York as a team has walked 450 times this year and they have struck out 1,146 times. They've had 1,057 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They score 4.19 runs per game and have totaled 654 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 76-73-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 81-75-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 69-77-10 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 77-79-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
New York Yankees
09/27/16 P Masahiro Tanaka Forearm "?" for next scheduled start Saturday vs. Baltimore Orioles
09/19/16 2B Starlin Castro Hamstring out indefinitely
09/15/16 RF Aaron Judge Oblique out for regular season
09/08/16 P Chad Green Elbow 60-day DL (9/3)
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks