Wednesday, June 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. Matt Moore
The Boston Red Sox visit Tropicana Field on Wednesday to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are David Price for the Red Sox and Matt Moore for the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -168 and Tampa Bay at +158. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Red Sox have a 41-30-5 over/under record and a 38-38-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Rays are 31-44-0 against the run line and have a 34-36-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 41% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 41-35 record, including 18-17 on the road. Starting pitcher David Price has a 8-4 record with an earned run average of 4.68 and a WHIP of 1.22. He has 110 strikeouts over his 102 innings pitched and he has given up 100 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.63. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 199 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen while being struck out 269 times and walking 97 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.66 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 641 base hits and 332 earned runs. They have allowed 91 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 257 batters and struck out 654. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.
As a team, Boston is batting .288, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .280 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .470 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.24 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .343 and his on-base percentage is at .395. He has 109 hits this season along with 59 runs scored and 50 runs batted in. He's struck out 50 times and has walked 27 times. Mookie Betts is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 97 hits so far while scoring 66 runs and he's driven in 54. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 51 times. The Red Sox have 778 hits, including 181 doubles and 91 home runs. They've stolen 49 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Boston has walked 269 times this season and they've struck out 547 times as a unit. They've left 564 men on base and have a team OPS of .825. They score 5.61 runs per contest and have scored a total of 426 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this matchup with a 16-20 home record and a 32-43 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.04, Matt Moore has a 3-5 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 84 strikeouts over the 89.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 96 hits. He has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.61. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 227 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 202 times and walking 83 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 9.02 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.62 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 661 base knocks and 323 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 104 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 221 hitters and struck out 632. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.36.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .229 average at home. The Rays hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.15 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this matchup batting .275 and he has an OBP of .330. He has 80 hits this year along with 43 runs scored and 43 RBI. He's struck out 74 times and has walked on 24 occasions. Logan Forsythe is hitting .297 and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 54 hits so far while he's scored 26 runs and drove in 18. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 46 times. The Rays as a unit have 611 base hits, including 130 doubles and 107 homers. They have 26 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 229 times this year and they have struck out 690 times. They've had 511 men left on base and have an OPS of .739. They score 4.11 runs per game and have totaled 308 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 41-30-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 38-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 34-36-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 31-44-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 15-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 15-day DL (6/5)
06/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Neck 15-day DL (6/5)
06/05/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 15-day DL (6/2)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tampa Bay Rays
06/21/16 CF Mike Mahtook Hand 15-day DL (6/21)
06/21/16 2B Steve Pearce Hamstring 15-day DL (6/21)
06/17/16 RF Steven Souza Hip 15-day DL (6/15)
06/06/16 LF Brandon Guyer Hamstring 15-day DL (6/4)
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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