Saturday, May 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Marcus Stroman
The Boston Red Sox visit Rogers Centre on Saturday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Marcus Stroman for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +125 and Toronto at -135. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Red Sox have a 26-18-3 over/under record and a 28-19-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 60% of the time. The Blue Jays are 25-24-0 against the run line and have a 17-29-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 29-18 record, including 11-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 7-2 record with an earned run average of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.09. He has 54 strikeouts over his 57 innings pitched and he has given up 49 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.73. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.01 and they have given up 120 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the bullpen while being struck out 164 times and walking 62 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.12 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.94 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.06. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 380 base hits and 190 earned runs. They have allowed 45 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 163 batters and struck out 418. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.81.
As a team, Boston is batting .296, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .278 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .486 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .360 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.53 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .347 and his on-base percentage is at .401. He has 67 hits this season along with 37 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 34 times and has walked 17 times. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .306 and he has an on-base percentage of .371. He has totaled 56 hits so far while scoring 34 runs and he's driven in 20. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 28 times. The Red Sox have 495 hits, including 123 doubles and 55 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Boston has walked 159 times this season and they've struck out 354 times as a unit. They've left 347 men on base and have a team OPS of .846. They score 5.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 276 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 9-13 home record and a 24-25 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.89, Marcus Stroman has a 5-1 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 46 strikeouts over the 69.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 62 hits. He has allowed 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.41. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have given up 123 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 115 times and walking 39 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.11 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.35 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.62. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 396 base knocks and 177 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 50 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 144 hitters and struck out 359. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.01.
As a team, they are batting .233, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .241 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.84 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .242 and he has an OBP of .343. He has 44 hits this year along with 37 runs scored and 24 RBI. He's struck out 42 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .242 and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 46 hits so far while he's scored 20 runs and drove in 35. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 48 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 384 base hits, including 81 doubles and 61 homers. They have 15 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Toronto as a team has walked 172 times this year and they have struck out 420 times. They've had 328 men left on base and have an OPS of .711. They score 4.02 runs per game and have totaled 197 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 26-18-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 28-19-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 17-29-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 25-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
05/27/16 C Ryan Hanigan Illness is upgraded to probable Friday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
05/20/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 7-day DL (5/19)
05/20/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (5/15)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
Toronto Blue Jays
05/26/16 SS Troy Tulowitzki Quad "?" Friday vs. Boston Red Sox
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Aaron Loup Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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