Sunday, October 2, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Kyle Hendricks vs. Robert Stephenson
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The Chicago Cubs visit Great American Ball Park on Sunday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs and Robert Stephenson for the Reds. The Cubs have a 73-79-8 over/under record and a 86-74-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Reds are 84-76-0 against the run line and have a 85-65-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Cubs head into this matchup with a 102-57 record, including 45-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Kyle Hendricks has a 16-8 record with an earned run average of 1.99 and a WHIP of 0.97. He has 166 strikeouts over his 185 innings pitched and he has given up 136 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.21. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.51 and they have given up 361 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the bullpen while being struck out 513 times and walking 195 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.91 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.89 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.09. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 1,109 base hits and 500 earned runs. They have allowed 162 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 487 batters and struck out 1,425. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.11 and their FIP as a unit is 3.77.
As a team, Chicago is batting .256, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .258 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.7 hits per game. Kris Bryant comes into this game hitting .293 and his on-base percentage is at .386. He has 175 hits this season along with 121 runs scored and 102 runs batted in. He's struck out 152 times and has walked 74 times. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .292 and he has an on-base percentage of .386. He has totaled 168 hits so far while scoring 93 runs and he's driven in 108. He has walked 74 times and has struck out 106 times. The Cubs have 1,392 hits, including 290 doubles and 196 home runs. They've stolen 65 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Chicago has walked 644 times this season and they've struck out 1,318 times as a unit. They've left 1,202 men on base and have a team OPS of .772. They score 4.98 runs per contest and have scored a total of 797 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 37-42 home record and a 67-93 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.27, Robert Stephenson has a 2-3 record and a 1.55 WHIP. He has 27 strikeouts over the 33 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 37 hits. He has allowed 10.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.69. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.08 and they have given up 567 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 515 times and walking 292 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.71 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.90. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,440 base knocks and 775 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 255 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 624 hitters and struck out 1,220. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 5.24.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Reds hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.68 hits per contest. Brandon Phillips comes into this matchup batting .291 and he has an OBP of .320. He has 160 hits this year along with 74 runs scored and 64 RBI. He's struck out 68 times and has walked on 18 occasions. Joey Votto is hitting .324 and he has an OBP of .434. He has collected 177 hits so far while he's scored 100 runs and drove in 94. He has earned a walk 108 times and has punched out 119 times. The Reds as a unit have 1,387 base hits, including 271 doubles and 163 homers. They have 134 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 51 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 444 times this year and they have struck out 1,268 times. They've had 1,001 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They score 4.41 runs per game and have totaled 705 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 73-79-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 86-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 85-65-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 84-76-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/30/16 P Jason Hammel Elbow "?" next start
09/28/16 LF Jorge Soler Side out indefinitely
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
10/01/16 CF Tyler Holt Wrist "?" Saturday vs. Chicago Cubs
09/30/16 2B Brandon Phillips Hand "?" Saturday vs. Chicago Cubs
09/30/16 RF Scott Schebler Hamstring "?" Saturday vs. Chicago Cubs
09/29/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee 60-day DL (9/16), out for season
09/16/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique 15-day DL (9/5), out for season
09/16/16 P Cody Reed Back 15-day DL (9/5)
09/14/16 P Alfredo Simon Shoulder 60-day DL (9/12)
09/09/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep out indefinitely
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
Guy's Pick: Take the Cubs
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