Tuesday, November 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta vs. Josh Tomlin
The Chicago Cubs visit Progressive Field on Saturday to play the Cleveland Indians in Game 6 of the World Series. The probable starters are Jake Arrieta for the Cubs and Josh Tomlin for the Indians. The Cubs have a 75-79-8 over/under record and a 87-75-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Indians are 75-86-0 against the run line and have a 80-70-11 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Cubs head into this matchup with a 103-58 record, including 46-34 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta has a 18-8 record with an earned run average of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.08. He has 190 strikeouts over his 197.1 innings pitched and he has given up 138 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.52. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 365 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the bullpen while being struck out 519 times and walking 199 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.92 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.88 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.13. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 1,125 base hits and 511 earned runs. They have allowed 163 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 495 batters and struck out 1,441. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.11 and their FIP as a unit is 3.77.
As a team, Chicago is batting .256, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .258 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.7 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .292 and his on-base percentage is at .385. He has 170 hits this season along with 94 runs scored and 109 runs batted in. He's struck out 108 times and has walked 74 times. Ben Zobrist is hitting .272 and he has an on-base percentage of .386. He has totaled 142 hits so far while scoring 94 runs and he's driven in 76. He has walked 96 times and has struck out 82 times. The Cubs have 1,409 hits, including 293 doubles and 199 home runs. They've stolen 66 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Chicago has walked 656 times this season and they've struck out 1,339 times as a unit. They've left 1,217 men on base and have a team OPS of .772. They score 4.99 runs per contest and have scored a total of 808 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 53-28 home record and a 94-67 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.40, Josh Tomlin has a 13-9 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 118 strikeouts over the 174 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 187 hits. He has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.88. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.45 and they have given up 443 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 514 times and walking 190 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.71 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,330 base knocks and 617 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 186 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 461 hitters and struck out 1,398. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.91.
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .288 average at home. The Indians hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.91 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this matchup batting .275 and he has an OBP of .343. He has 168 hits this year along with 91 runs scored and 82 RBI. He's struck out 146 times and has walked on 60 occasions. Mike Napoli is hitting .239 and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 133 hits so far while he's scored 92 runs and drove in 101. He has earned a walk 78 times and has punched out 194 times. The Indians as a unit have 1,435 base hits, including 308 doubles and 185 homers. They have 134 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 31 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 531 times this year and they have struck out 1,246 times. They've had 1,084 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They score 4.83 runs per game and have totaled 777 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 75-79-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 87-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 80-70-11 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 75-86-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
10/01/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hand 60-day DL (9/17), out for season
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Cubs
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