Saturday, August 20, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Montgomery vs. Tyler Chatwood
The Chicago Cubs head to Coors Field on Saturday to take on the Colorado Rockies. The probable pitchers are Mike Montgomery for the Cubs and Tyler Chatwood for the Rockies. The opening line for this game has Chicago at -160 and Colorado at +135. The over/under is 12. The Cubs have a 55-59-6 over/under mark and a 65-55-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Rockies are 67-54-0 against the run line and have a 56-61-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
The Cubs head into this game with a 77-43 record, and they are 32-24 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Montgomery has a 4-5 record with an ERA of 2.43 and a WHIP of 1.18. He has 66 strikeouts during his 70.1 innings pitched and he has given up 60 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.33. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.62 and they have allowed 272 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the pen while they've been struck out 355 times and walked 148 times this year. As a unit, Chicago has given up 6.92 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.77 hitters per nine. They are 1st in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.08. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 835 base hits and 375 earned runs. They have allowed 123 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 371 batters and struck out 1,056. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.11 and their FIP as a unit is 3.83.
As a team, Chicago is hitting .257, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .264 average on the road. The Cubs have a .431 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .346 which is good for 2nd in the league. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.71 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .291 and his on-base percentage is at .395. He has 126 hits this season along with 72 runs scored and 86 runs batted in. He's struck out 81 times and has walked 62 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .296 and he has an on-base percentage of .392. He has totaled 134 hits so far while scoring 96 runs and he's driven in 78. He has walked 57 times and has struck out 121 times. The Cubs have 1,045 hits, including 225 doubles and 149 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Chicago has walked 494 times this season and they've struck out 1,005 times as a unit. They've left 902 men on base and have a team OPS of .777. They score 5.1 runs per contest and have scored a total of 612 runs so far this year.
Colorado comes into this game with a 30-30 home mark and a 58-63 overall record. With an ERA of 3.75, Tyler Chatwood has a 10-8 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 127.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 119 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.23. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.84 and they have given up 416 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the Rockies bullpen while being struck out 349 times and walking 146 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.59 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Rockies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,136 base knocks and 579 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 126 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a staff has walked 400 hitters and struck out 877. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.30.
As a team, they are batting .274, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .303 average at home. The Rockies hold a .458 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.43 hits per contest. Nolan Arenado comes into this matchup batting .279 and he has an OBP of .351. He has 128 hits this year along with 88 runs scored and 97 RBI. He's struck out 69 times and has walked on 53 occasions. Carlos Gonzalez is hitting .321 and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 137 hits so far while he's scored 73 runs and drove in 79. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 98 times. The Rockies as a unit have 1,142 base hits, including 239 doubles and 153 homers. They have 51 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. Colorado as a team has walked 389 times this year and they have struck out 981 times. They've had 815 men left on base and have an OPS of .797. They score 5.29 runs per game and have totaled 640 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 55-59-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 65-55-0 against the run line so far this season
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 56-61-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 67-54-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/18/16 2B Chris Coghlan Ribs 15-day DL (8/17)
08/17/16 P Joe Smith Hamstring 15-day DL (8/17)
08/14/16 P John Lackey Shoulder "?" for next scheduled start Tuesday
08/12/16 P Pedro Strop Knee expected to miss 4-6 weeks
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
08/19/16 RF Carlos Gonzalez Ankle probable Friday vs. Chicago Cubs
08/17/16 P Tyler Chatwood Back 15-day DL (8/15)
08/12/16 1B Mark Reynolds Hand 15-day DL (8/11)
08/02/16 SS Trevor Story Thumb 15-day DL (8/2), out for season
07/27/16 P Jason Motte Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
07/23/16 P Chad Qualls Illness 15-day DL (7/16)
07/06/16 P Justin Miller Oblique 15-day DL (7/3)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25), out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Rockies
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