Sunday, August 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jason Hammel vs. Jorge De La Rosa
The Chicago Cubs visit Coors Field on Sunday to play the Colorado Rockies. The probable starters are Jason Hammel for the Cubs and Jorge De La Rosa for the Rockies. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -150 and Colorado at +140. The over/under was set at 11.5. The Cubs have a 56-59-6 over/under record and a 65-56-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Rockies are 68-54-0 against the run line and have a 57-61-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.
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The Cubs head into this matchup with a 77-44 record, including 32-25 on the road. Starting pitcher Jason Hammel has a 13-5 record with an earned run average of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.07. He has 113 strikeouts over his 134.1 innings pitched and he has given up 101 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.08. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.68 and they have given up 279 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the bullpen while being struck out 359 times and walking 150 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.95 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.75 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.09. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 846 base hits and 380 earned runs. They have allowed 124 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 374 batters and struck out 1,063. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.12 and their FIP as a unit is 3.83.
As a team, Chicago is batting .257, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .265 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.74 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .292 and his on-base percentage is at .395. He has 128 hits this season along with 73 runs scored and 87 runs batted in. He's struck out 82 times and has walked 62 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .299 and he has an on-base percentage of .393. He has totaled 137 hits so far while scoring 96 runs and he's driven in 79. He has walked 57 times and has struck out 122 times. The Cubs have 1,057 hits, including 225 doubles and 151 home runs. They've stolen 51 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Chicago has walked 497 times this season and they've struck out 1,017 times as a unit. They've left 910 men on base and have a team OPS of .777. They score 5.11 runs per contest and have scored a total of 618 runs so far this year.
Colorado comes into this matchup with a 31-30 home record and a 59-63 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.29, Jorge De La Rosa has a 7-7 record and a 1.60 WHIP. He has 76 strikeouts over the 102 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 114 hits. He has allowed 10.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.19. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 420 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the Rockies bullpen while being struck out 353 times and walking 148 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.42 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Rockies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,148 base knocks and 585 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 128 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a staff has walked 403 hitters and struck out 889. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.30.
As a team, they are batting .274, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .303 average at home. The Rockies hold a .458 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.44 hits per contest. Nolan Arenado comes into this matchup batting .277 and he has an OBP of .350. He has 128 hits this year along with 88 runs scored and 98 RBI. He's struck out 69 times and has walked on 54 occasions. Carlos Gonzalez is hitting .322 and he has an OBP of .372. He has collected 139 hits so far while he's scored 73 runs and drove in 80. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 98 times. The Rockies as a unit have 1,153 base hits, including 243 doubles and 154 homers. They have 51 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. Colorado as a team has walked 392 times this year and they have struck out 988 times. They've had 821 men left on base and have an OPS of .797. They score 5.3 runs per game and have totaled 647 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 56-59-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 65-56-0 against the run line so far this season
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 57-61-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 68-54-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/19/16 P Hector Rondon Tricep 15-day DL (8/17)
08/19/16 P John Lackey Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/18/16 2B Chris Coghlan Ribs 15-day DL (8/17)
08/17/16 P Joe Smith Hamstring 15-day DL (8/17)
08/12/16 P Pedro Strop Knee 15-day DL (8/11)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
08/20/16 CF Charlie Blackmon Toe "?" Saturday vs. Chicago Cubs
08/17/16 P Tyler Chatwood Back 15-day DL (8/15)
08/12/16 1B Mark Reynolds Hand 15-day DL (8/11)
08/02/16 SS Trevor Story Thumb 15-day DL (8/2), out for season
07/27/16 P Jason Motte Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
07/06/16 P Justin Miller Oblique 15-day DL (7/3)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25), out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs
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