Monday, October 10, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta vs. Madison Bumgarner
The Chicago Cubs visit AT&T Park on Monday to play the San Francisco Giants. The Cubs lead the series 2-0. The probable starters are Jake Arrieta for the Cubs and Madison Bumgarner for the Giants. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at +113 and San Francisco at -123. The over/under was set at 6. The Cubs have a 75-79-8 over/under record and a 87-75-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Giants are 78-84-0 against the run line and have a 75-82-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
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The Cubs head into this matchup with a 103-58 record, including 46-34 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta has a 18-8 record with an earned run average of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.08. He has 190 strikeouts over his 197.1 innings pitched and he has given up 138 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.52. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 365 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the bullpen while being struck out 519 times and walking 199 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.92 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.88 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.13. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 1,125 base hits and 511 earned runs. They have allowed 163 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 495 batters and struck out 1,441. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.11 and their FIP as a unit is 3.77.
As a team, Chicago is batting .256, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .258 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.7 hits per game. Dexter Fowler comes into this game hitting .276 and his on-base percentage is at .393. He has 126 hits this season along with 84 runs scored and 48 runs batted in. He's struck out 124 times and has walked 79 times. Ben Zobrist is hitting .272 and he has an on-base percentage of .386. He has totaled 142 hits so far while scoring 94 runs and he's driven in 76. He has walked 96 times and has struck out 82 times. The Cubs have 1,409 hits, including 293 doubles and 199 home runs. They've stolen 66 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Chicago has walked 656 times this season and they've struck out 1,339 times as a unit. They've left 1,217 men on base and have a team OPS of .772. They score 4.99 runs per contest and have scored a total of 808 runs so far this year.
San Francisco comes into this matchup with a 45-36 home record and a 87-75 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.74, Madison Bumgarner has a 15-9 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 251 strikeouts over the 226.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 178 hits. He has allowed 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.24. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 430 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 420 times and walking 167 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 8.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.07 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,333 base knocks and 593 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 158 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a staff has walked 439 hitters and struck out 1,309. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 3.76.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .273 average at home. The Giants hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.87 hits per contest. Hunter Pence comes into this matchup batting .289 and he has an OBP of .357. He has 114 hits this year along with 58 runs scored and 57 RBI. He's struck out 95 times and has walked on 43 occasions. Brandon Belt is hitting .275 and he has an OBP of .394. He has collected 149 hits so far while he's scored 77 runs and drove in 82. He has earned a walk 104 times and has punched out 148 times. The Giants as a unit have 1,437 base hits, including 280 doubles and 130 homers. They have 79 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 36 times. San Francisco as a team has walked 572 times this year and they have struck out 1,107 times. They've had 1,188 men left on base and have an OPS of .728. They score 4.41 runs per game and have totaled 715 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 75-79-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 87-75-0 against the run line so far this season
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 75-82-5 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 78-84-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
10/08/16 P Kyle Hendricks Forearm injured last game, "?" next start
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
San Francisco Giants
10/08/16 3B Eduardo Nunez Hamstring "?" Monday vs. Chicago Cubs
09/28/16 RF Mac Williamson Quad 60-day DL (9/27)
09/06/16 P Ray Black Elbow 60-day DL (9/3)
07/07/16 P Cory Gearrin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Christopher Heston Oblique 60-day DL (6/29)
Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs
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