Monday, July 4, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Cody Reed vs. Kyle Hendricks
The Cincinnati Reds head to Wrigley Field on Monday to take on the Chicago Cubs. The probable pitchers are Cody Reed for the Reds and Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +242 and Chicago at -265. The over/under is 8. The Reds have a 46-29-7 over/under mark and a 41-41-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Cubs are 44-36-0 against the run line and have a 40-36-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
The Reds head into this game with a 30-52 record, and they are 12-27 on the road. Starting pitcher Cody Reed has a 0-2 record with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.81. He has 20 strikeouts during his 16 innings pitched and he has given up 24 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 13.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.48. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 5.90 and they have allowed 316 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the pen while they've been struck out 262 times and walked 166 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.39 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.21 hitters per nine. They are 30th in the Majors in team earned run average at 5.43. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 770 base hits and 445 earned runs. They have allowed 138 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 359 batters and struck out 591. They walk 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.53 and their FIP as a unit is 5.62.
As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .239, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .243 average on the road. The Reds have a .400 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .299 which is good for 29th in the league. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.02 hits per contest. Jay Bruce comes into this game hitting .272 and his on-base percentage is at .319. He has 80 hits this season along with 45 runs scored and 60 runs batted in. He's struck out 65 times and has walked 19 times. Brandon Phillips is hitting .255 and he has an on-base percentage of .295. He has totaled 75 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 30. He has walked 13 times and has struck out 41 times. The Reds have 657 hits, including 141 doubles and 91 home runs. They've stolen 58 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Cincinnati has walked 217 times this season and they've struck out 693 times as a unit. They've left 462 men on base and have a team OPS of .699. They score 4.28 runs per contest and have scored a total of 351 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this game with a 25-11 home mark and a 51-29 overall record. With an ERA of 2.76, Kyle Hendricks has a 6-6 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 83 strikeouts over the 91.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 71 hits. He has allowed 7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.47. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.35 and they have given up 166 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .203 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 227 times and walking 93 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.83 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.92. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 546 base knocks and 238 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 71 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 242 hitters and struck out 708. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.09 while their FIP as a staff is 3.62.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .242 average at home. The Cubs hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.6 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup batting .283 and he has an OBP of .403. He has 78 hits this year along with 47 runs scored and 60 RBI. He's struck out 47 times and has walked on 46 occasions. Kris Bryant is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 85 hits so far while he's scored 64 runs and drove in 61. He has earned a walk 37 times and has punched out 82 times. The Cubs as a unit have 688 base hits, including 145 doubles and 107 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Chicago as a team has walked 347 times this year and they have struck out 698 times. They've had 596 men left on base and have an OPS of .779. They score 5.25 runs per game and have totaled 420 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 46-29-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 41-41-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 40-36-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 44-36-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/03/16 LF Adam Duvall Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Washington Nationals
07/03/16 1B Joey Votto Shoulder is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Washington Nationals
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
07/03/16 2B Chris Coghlan Ribs 15-day DL (7/3)
06/21/16 P Clayton Richard Finger 15-day DL (6/21)
06/20/16 CF Dexter Fowler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/19)
06/09/16 2B Tommy La Stella Hamstring 15-day DL (6/8)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Cubs
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