Monday, May 23, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Brandon Finnegan vs. Clayton Kershaw
The Cincinnati Reds visit Dodger Stadium on Monday to play the Los Angeles Dodgers. The probable starters are Brandon Finnegan for the Reds and Clayton Kershaw for the Dodgers. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +305 and Los Angeles at -350. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Reds have a 25-16-3 over/under record and a 21-23-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Dodgers are 19-24-0 against the run line and have a 18-22-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
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The Reds head into this matchup with a 15-29 record, including 3-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Brandon Finnegan has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.40. He has 38 strikeouts over his 48.2 innings pitched and he has given up 45 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.45. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.47 and they have given up 171 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the bullpen while being struck out 141 times and walking 95 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.29 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.58. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 402 base hits and 235 earned runs. They have allowed 75 home runs this season and they allow 1.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 195 batters and struck out 307. They walk 4.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.58 and their FIP as a unit is 5.74.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .233, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .239 average away from home. The Reds hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.6 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .204 and his on-base percentage is at .343. He has 29 hits this season along with 19 runs scored and 24 runs batted in. He's struck out 47 times and has walked 27 times. Zack Cozart is hitting .326 and he has an on-base percentage of .336. He has totaled 42 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 4 times and has struck out 17 times. The Reds have 327 hits, including 73 doubles and 45 home runs. They've stolen 25 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Cincinnati has walked 104 times this season and they've struck out 346 times as a unit. They've left 226 men on base and have a team OPS of .682. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 172 runs so far this year.
Los Angeles comes into this matchup with a 10-12 home record and a 21-23 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.67, Clayton Kershaw has a 6-1 record and a 0.70 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 70 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 45 hits. He has allowed 5.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.32. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.97 and they have given up 101 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the Dodgers bullpen while being struck out 118 times and walking 50 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 8.94 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.26 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.20. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 329 base knocks and 162 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 40 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 124 hitters and struck out 387. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.16 while their FIP as a staff is 3.50.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .239 average at home. The Dodgers hold a .378 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.44 hits per contest. Adrian Gonzalez comes into this matchup batting .286 and he has an OBP of .363. He has 42 hits this year along with 15 runs scored and 20 RBI. He's struck out 36 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Corey Seager is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 47 hits so far while he's scored 26 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 29 times. The Dodgers as a unit have 360 base hits, including 70 doubles and 42 homers. They have 9 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Los Angeles as a team has walked 144 times this year and they have struck out 338 times. They've had 305 men left on base and have an OPS of .694. They score 4.2 runs per game and have totaled 185 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 25-16-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 21-23-0 against the run line so far this season
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 18-22-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 19-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/22/16 RF Jay Bruce Knee is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Seattle Mariners
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/09/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder 15-day DL (5/3)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Los Angeles Dodgers
05/03/16 P Josh Ravin Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 15-day DL (4/23)
04/11/16 LF Scott Van Slyke Back 15-day DL (4/10)
04/05/16 P Brandon McCarthy Elbow 60-day DL (2/19)
04/05/16 P Frankie Montas Ribs 60-day DL (2/20)
04/04/16 P Brett Anderson Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 3B Alex Guerrero Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 LF Andre Ethier Leg 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Dodgers
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