Sunday, August 14, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Cody Reed vs. Wily Peralta
The Cincinnati Reds head to Miller Park on Sunday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Cody Reed for the Reds and Wily Peralta for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +102 and Milwaukee at -112. The over/under is 9.5. The Reds have a 60-44-10 over/under mark and a 61-53-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Brewers are 59-55-0 against the run line and have a 53-54-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Reds head into this game with a 47-67 record, and they are 21-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Cody Reed has a 0-6 record with an ERA of 6.36 and a WHIP of 1.67. He has 42 strikeouts during his 46.2 innings pitched and he has given up 62 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 12 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.62. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 5.10 and they have allowed 401 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the pen while they've been struck out 376 times and walked 213 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.11 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.63 hitters per nine. They are 30th in the Majors in team earned run average at 5.02. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,031 base hits and 568 earned runs. They have allowed 185 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 463 batters and struck out 864. They walk 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 5.33.
As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .245, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .242 average on the road. The Reds have a .401 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .306 which is good for 26th in the league. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.25 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .295 and his on-base percentage is at .424. He has 112 hits this season along with 70 runs scored and 57 runs batted in. He's struck out 102 times and has walked 84 times. Zack Cozart is hitting .263 and he has an on-base percentage of .310. He has totaled 105 hits so far while scoring 58 runs and he's driven in 45. He has walked 27 times and has struck out 69 times. The Reds have 939 hits, including 189 doubles and 124 home runs. They've stolen 106 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 36 times. Cincinnati has walked 316 times this season and they've struck out 935 times as a unit. They've left 671 men on base and have a team OPS of .707. They score 4.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 497 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a 32-28 home mark and a 51-63 overall record. With an ERA of 6.38, Wily Peralta has a 4-8 record and a 1.82 WHIP. He has 48 strikeouts over the 72 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 101 hits. He has allowed 12.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.34. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.82 and they have given up 380 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 360 times and walking 155 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.46 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,030 base knocks and 475 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 130 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 394 hitters and struck out 838. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.47.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Brewers hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.16 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .302 and he has an OBP of .386. He has 127 hits this year along with 63 runs scored and 41 RBI. He's struck out 125 times and has walked on 58 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .322 and he has an OBP of .387. He has collected 115 hits so far while he's scored 56 runs and drove in 58. He has earned a walk 36 times and has punched out 64 times. The Brewers as a unit have 930 base hits, including 170 doubles and 125 homers. They have 123 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 39 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 433 times this year and they have struck out 1,088 times. They've had 780 men left on base and have an OPS of .728. They score 4.11 runs per game and have totaled 469 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 60-44-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 61-53-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 53-54-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 59-55-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/04/16 P A.J. Morris Shoulder 15-day DL (6/16)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/22)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
08/09/16 P Junior Guerra Elbow 15-day DL (8/4)
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers
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