Saturday, September 24, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dan Straily vs. Taylor Jungmann
The Cincinnati Reds visit Miller Park on Saturday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Dan Straily for the Reds and Taylor Jungmann for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at -105 and Milwaukee at -105. The over/under was set at 9. The Reds have a 81-61-10 over/under record and a 78-74-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Brewers are 83-70-0 against the run line and have a 70-74-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
The Reds head into this matchup with a 63-89 record, including 26-48 on the road. Starting pitcher Dan Straily has a 13-8 record with an earned run average of 3.83 and a WHIP of 1.19. He has 150 strikeouts over his 178.2 innings pitched and he has given up 143 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.81. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.07 and they have given up 541 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen while being struck out 487 times and walking 282 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.14 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.71 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.93. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,376 base hits and 742 earned runs. They have allowed 244 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 603 batters and struck out 1,160. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.26.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .253, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .248 average away from home. The Reds hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.55 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .320 and his on-base percentage is at .432. He has 165 hits this season along with 93 runs scored and 87 runs batted in. He's struck out 117 times and has walked 103 times. Brandon Phillips is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .320. He has totaled 153 hits so far while scoring 72 runs and he's driven in 59. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 65 times. The Reds have 1,299 hits, including 259 doubles and 154 home runs. They've stolen 124 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 46 times. Cincinnati has walked 427 times this season and they've struck out 1,209 times as a unit. They've left 942 men on base and have a team OPS of .720. They score 4.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 663 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 40-38 home record and a 69-84 overall mark. With an earned run average of 8.34, Taylor Jungmann has a 0-4 record and a 1.77 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 22.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 27 hits. He has allowed 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.64. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 491 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 461 times and walking 202 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.06 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.42 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,363 base knocks and 616 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 171 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 508 hitters and struck out 1,117. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .247 average at home. The Brewers hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.99 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .283 and he has an OBP of .368. He has 157 hits this year along with 85 runs scored and 56 RBI. He's struck out 165 times and has walked on 74 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .305 and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 147 hits so far while he's scored 77 runs and drove in 88. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 93 times. The Brewers as a unit have 1,223 base hits, including 232 doubles and 183 homers. They have 170 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 52 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 573 times this year and they have struck out 1,459 times. They've had 1,015 men left on base and have an OPS of .729. They score 4.15 runs per game and have totaled 635 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 81-61-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 78-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 70-74-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 83-70-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/19/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee out indefinitely
09/16/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique 15-day DL (9/5)
09/16/16 P Cody Reed Back 15-day DL (9/5)
09/14/16 P Alfredo Simon Shoulder 60-day DL (9/12)
09/09/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep out indefinitely
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
09/21/16 CF Kirk Nieuwenhuis Oblique out indefinitely
09/18/16 P Junior Guerra None out for season
09/16/16 CF Keon Broxton Wrist out for season
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Reds
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