Tuesday, April 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Brandon Finnegan vs. Bartolo Colon
The Cincinnati Reds visit Citi Field on Tuesday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Brandon Finnegan for the Reds and Bartolo Colon for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +155 and New York at -165. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Reds have a 12-6-1 over/under record and a 8-11-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Mets are 8-9-0 against the run line and have a 9-8-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Reds head into this matchup with a 9-10 record, including 1-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Brandon Finnegan has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.25. He has 18 strikeouts over his 21.2 innings pitched and he has given up 15 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.49. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.26 and they have given up 73 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen while being struck out 59 times and walking 45 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.05 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.27 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.58. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 167 base hits and 103 earned runs. They have allowed 34 home runs this season and they allow 1.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 89 batters and struck out 134. They walk 4.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.54 and their FIP as a unit is 5.93.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .241, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .249 average away from home. The Reds hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.63 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .206 and his on-base percentage is at .295. He has 14 hits this season along with 6 runs scored and 9 runs batted in. He's struck out 16 times and has walked 8 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .265 and he has an on-base percentage of .320. He has totaled 18 hits so far while scoring 9 runs and he's driven in 15. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 16 times. The Reds have 145 hits, including 36 doubles and 17 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. Cincinnati has walked 48 times this season and they've struck out 133 times as a unit. They've left 94 men on base and have a team OPS of .694. They score 4.05 runs per contest and have scored a total of 77 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 2-4 home record and a 10-7 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.89, Bartolo Colon has a 1-1 record and a 1.07 WHIP. He has 17 strikeouts over the 18.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 18 hits. He has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.99. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.98 and they have given up 55 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 66 times and walking 17 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 9.08 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.55 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 2.95. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 154 base knocks and 50 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 6 home runs this year and they give up 0.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 38 hitters and struck out 162. They give up a walk 2.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 2.27.
As a team, they are batting .251, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .194 average at home. The Mets hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.71 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .288 and he has an OBP of .364. He has 17 hits this year along with 11 runs scored and 14 RBI. He's struck out 21 times and has walked on 6 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .333 and he has an OBP of .382. He has collected 21 hits so far while he's scored 6 runs and drove in 5. He has earned a walk 4 times and has punched out 11 times. The Mets as a unit have 148 base hits, including 33 doubles and 25 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 2 times. New York as a team has walked 55 times this year and they have struck out 156 times. They've had 126 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They score 4.35 runs per game and have totaled 74 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 12-6-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 8-11-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 9-8-0 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 8-9-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/19/16 P Alfredo Simon Bicep "?" for next scheduled start
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 15-day DL (3/31)
04/03/16 P John Lamb Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
New York Mets
04/24/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Leg "?" Monday vs. Cincinnati Reds
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Reds
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