Sunday, May 15, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
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Probable Pitchers: Dan Straily vs. Adam Morgan
The Cincinnati Reds visit Citizens Bank Park on Sunday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Dan Straily for the Reds and Adam Morgan for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +110 and Philadelphia at -120. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Reds have a 19-13-3 over/under record and a 17-18-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Phillies are 20-16-0 against the run line and have a 15-19-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.
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The Reds head into this matchup with a 14-21 record, including 2-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Dan Straily has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.13. He has 30 strikeouts over his 36.1 innings pitched and he has given up 24 hits so far this season. He has allowed 5.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.87. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.14 and they have given up 133 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the bullpen while being struck out 107 times and walking 64 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.03 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.24 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.13. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 308 base hits and 175 earned runs. They have allowed 63 home runs this season and they allow 1.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 149 batters and struck out 247. They walk 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.49 and their FIP as a unit is 5.80.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .233, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .228 average away from home. The Reds hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .289 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.49 hits per game. Joey Votto comes into this game hitting .228 and his on-base percentage is at .362. He has 26 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 20 runs batted in. He's struck out 36 times and has walked 21 times. Zack Cozart is hitting .317 and he has an on-base percentage of .318. He has totaled 33 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 13. He has walked 2 times and has struck out 14 times. The Reds have 262 hits, including 61 doubles and 37 home runs. They've stolen 23 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 13 times. Cincinnati has walked 80 times this season and they've struck out 277 times as a unit. They've left 175 men on base and have a team OPS of .689. They score 4.03 runs per contest and have scored a total of 141 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 9-5 home record and a 21-15 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.94, Adam Morgan has a 1-0 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 13 strikeouts over the 16 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 15 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.02. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have given up 103 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 114 times and walking 44 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 7.85 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.14 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 280 base knocks and 135 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 43 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 97 hitters and struck out 326. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.17 while their FIP as a staff is 3.75.
As a team, they are batting .228, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .212 average at home. The Phillies hold a .360 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .285 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.39 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .331 and he has an OBP of .445. He has 42 hits this year along with 22 runs scored and 11 RBI. He's struck out 26 times and has walked on 27 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .241 and he has an OBP of .280. He has collected 32 hits so far while he's scored 11 runs and drove in 19. He has earned a walk 7 times and has punched out 28 times. The Phillies as a unit have 266 base hits, including 50 doubles and 28 homers. They have 14 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 14 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 89 times this year and they have struck out 282 times. They've had 202 men left on base and have an OPS of .645. They score 3.28 runs per game and have totaled 118 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 19-13-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 17-18-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 15-19-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 20-16-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/10/16 P John Lamb Thumb "?" for next scheduled start
05/09/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder 15-day DL (5/3)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/04/16 P Michael Mariot Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies
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