Wednesday, May 18, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Josh Tomlin vs. Brandon Finnegan
The Cleveland Indians visit Great American Ball Park on Wednesday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Josh Tomlin for the Indians and Brandon Finnegan for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at -141 and Cincinnati at +131. The over/under was set at 8. The Indians have a 18-14-3 over/under record and a 14-21-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 40% of the time. The Reds are 19-19-0 against the run line and have a 21-14-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Indians head into this matchup with a 18-17 record, including 8-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Josh Tomlin has a 5-0 record with an earned run average of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.08. He has 23 strikeouts over his 35.1 innings pitched and he has given up 34 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.8. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.71 and they have given up 96 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen while being struck out 103 times and walking 45 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.93 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.89. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 279 base hits and 137 earned runs. They have allowed 40 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 105 batters and struck out 292. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.97.
As a team, Cleveland is batting .254, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .237 average away from home. The Indians hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.69 hits per game. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .293 and his on-base percentage is at .338. He has 41 hits this season along with 21 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 39 times and has walked 11 times. Francisco Lindor is hitting .309 and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 43 hits so far while scoring 24 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 12 times and has struck out 25 times. The Indians have 304 hits, including 61 doubles and 33 home runs. They've stolen 22 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Cleveland has walked 108 times this season and they've struck out 298 times as a unit. They've left 222 men on base and have a team OPS of .713. They score 4.51 runs per contest and have scored a total of 158 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 12-10 home record and a 15-23 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.40, Brandon Finnegan has a 1-2 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 32 strikeouts over the 43 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 37 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.77. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.44 and they have given up 150 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 118 times and walking 73 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.27 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.34. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 349 base knocks and 197 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 66 home runs this year and they give up 1.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 165 hitters and struck out 268. They give up a walk 4.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.55 while their FIP as a staff is 5.75.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .237 average at home. The Reds hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.76 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .218 and he has an OBP of .357. He has 27 hits this year along with 16 runs scored and 20 RBI. He's struck out 40 times and has walked on 24 occasions. Zack Cozart is hitting .319 and he has an OBP of .319. He has collected 36 hits so far while he's scored 21 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 2 times and has punched out 16 times. The Reds as a unit have 295 base hits, including 67 doubles and 40 homers. They have 24 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 92 times this year and they have struck out 299 times. They've had 197 men left on base and have an OPS of .701. They score 4.18 runs per game and have totaled 159 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 18-14-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 14-21-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 21-14-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 19-19-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
04/25/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24)
05/09/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder 15-day DL (5/3)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Reds
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