Thursday, May 19, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Josh Tomlin vs. Tim Adleman
The Cleveland Indians visit Great American Ball Park on Thursday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Josh Tomlin for the Indians and Tim Adleman for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at -146 and Cincinnati at +136. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Indians have a 19-14-3 over/under record and a 15-21-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Reds are 19-20-0 against the run line and have a 22-14-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Indians head into this matchup with a 19-17 record, including 8-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Josh Tomlin has a 5-0 record with an earned run average of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.08. He has 23 strikeouts over his 35.1 innings pitched and he has given up 34 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.81. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 96 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen while being struck out 104 times and walking 46 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.85 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.32 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.81. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 284 base hits and 138 earned runs. They have allowed 40 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 107 batters and struck out 301. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.92.
As a team, Cleveland is batting .260, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .237 average away from home. The Indians hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.92 hits per game. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .292 and his on-base percentage is at .340. He has 42 hits this season along with 22 runs scored and 21 runs batted in. He's struck out 40 times and has walked 12 times. Francisco Lindor is hitting .317 and he has an on-base percentage of .371. He has totaled 46 hits so far while scoring 24 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 12 times and has struck out 27 times. The Indians have 321 hits, including 66 doubles and 33 home runs. They've stolen 23 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Cleveland has walked 117 times this season and they've struck out 305 times as a unit. They've left 235 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 4.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 171 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 12-10 home record and a 15-24 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.38, Tim Adleman has a 1-1 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 13 strikeouts over the 16 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 15 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.61. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.46 and they have given up 153 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 123 times and walking 81 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.69 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.28 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.56. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 366 base knocks and 210 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 66 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 174 hitters and struck out 275. They give up a walk 4.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.59 while their FIP as a staff is 5.74.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .237 average at home. The Reds hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.69 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .213 and he has an OBP of .350. He has 27 hits this year along with 16 runs scored and 20 RBI. He's struck out 41 times and has walked on 24 occasions. Zack Cozart is hitting .310 and he has an OBP of .311. He has collected 36 hits so far while he's scored 21 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 2 times and has punched out 16 times. The Reds as a unit have 300 base hits, including 68 doubles and 40 homers. They have 24 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 94 times this year and they have struck out 308 times. They've had 203 men left on base and have an OPS of .694. They score 4.1 runs per game and have totaled 160 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 19-14-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 15-21-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 22-14-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 19-20-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
04/25/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24)
05/09/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder 15-day DL (5/3)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Reds
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