Thursday, June 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Carlos Carrasco vs. R.A. Dickey
The Cleveland Indians visit Rogers Centre on Thursday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Carlos Carrasco for the Indians and R.A. Dickey for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at -104 and Toronto at -106. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Indians have a 39-31-6 over/under record and a 41-35-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Blue Jays are 40-39-0 against the run line and have a 32-43-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Indians head into this matchup with a 46-30 record, including 23-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 2.73 and a WHIP of 1.11. He has 49 strikeouts over his 56 innings pitched and he has given up 49 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.25. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.30 and they have given up 179 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen while being struck out 204 times and walking 79 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.85 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.34 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.49. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 596 base hits and 265 earned runs. They have allowed 84 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 206 batters and struck out 633. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.17 and their FIP as a unit is 3.87.
As a team, Cleveland is batting .260, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .235 average away from home. The Indians hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.91 hits per game. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .266 and his on-base percentage is at .321. He has 78 hits this season along with 38 runs scored and 42 runs batted in. He's struck out 68 times and has walked 25 times. Francisco Lindor is hitting .312 and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 91 hits so far while scoring 52 runs and he's driven in 39. He has walked 28 times and has struck out 41 times. The Indians have 677 hits, including 128 doubles and 96 home runs. They've stolen 62 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. Cleveland has walked 244 times this season and they've struck out 602 times as a unit. They've left 491 men on base and have a team OPS of .758. They score 4.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 374 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 19-17 home record and a 42-37 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.23, R.A. Dickey has a 5-8 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 66 strikeouts over the 95.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 93 hits. He has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.22. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 214 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 208 times and walking 64 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.00. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 665 base knocks and 313 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 92 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 234 hitters and struck out 604. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .264 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.35 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .290 and he has an OBP of .398. He has 84 hits this year along with 64 runs scored and 51 RBI. He's struck out 60 times and has walked on 50 occasions. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .259 and he has an OBP of .355. He has collected 76 hits so far while he's scored 49 runs and drove in 69. He has earned a walk 41 times and has punched out 66 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 659 base hits, including 138 doubles and 114 homers. They have 25 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. Toronto as a team has walked 292 times this year and they have struck out 638 times. They've had 524 men left on base and have an OPS of .764. They score 4.77 runs per game and have totaled 377 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 39-31-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 41-35-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 32-43-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 40-39-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
Toronto Blue Jays
06/28/16 1B Justin Smoak Knee "?" Wednesday vs. Colorado Rockies
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 15-day DL (6/26)
06/17/16 RF Jose Bautista Toe 15-day DL (6/17)
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 60-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Indians
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