Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays 7-2-2016 Free MLB Picks & Predictions
by Tony Sink - 7/1/2016
Saturday, July 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Trevor Bauer vs. Marco Estrada
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The Cleveland Indians visit Rogers Centre on Saturday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Trevor Bauer for the Indians and Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at +116 and Toronto at -126. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Indians have a 39-33-6 over/under record and a 43-35-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Blue Jays are 41-40-0 against the run line and have a 32-45-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Indians head into this matchup with a 48-30 record, including 25-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Trevor Bauer has a 6-2 record with an earned run average of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.17. He has 84 strikeouts over his 90.1 innings pitched and he has given up 76 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.44. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.24 and they have given up 181 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the bullpen while being struck out 209 times and walking 82 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.47 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.42. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 606 base hits and 266 earned runs. They have allowed 85 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 211 batters and struck out 660. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.17 and their FIP as a unit is 3.82.
As a team, Cleveland is batting .260, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .236 average away from home. The Indians hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.91 hits per game. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .267 and his on-base percentage is at .323. He has 79 hits this season along with 38 runs scored and 44 runs batted in. He's struck out 68 times and has walked 25 times. Francisco Lindor is hitting .308 and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 91 hits so far while scoring 52 runs and he's driven in 39. He has walked 28 times and has struck out 41 times. The Indians have 695 hits, including 133 doubles and 99 home runs. They've stolen 63 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. Cleveland has walked 246 times this season and they've struck out 609 times as a unit. They've left 502 men on base and have a team OPS of .759. They score 4.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 381 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 19-18 home record and a 43-38 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.81, Marco Estrada has a 5-3 record and a 0.99 WHIP. He has 92 strikeouts over the 99.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 59 hits. He has allowed 5.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.06. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 219 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 212 times and walking 65 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.65 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.98. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 684 base knocks and 320 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 94 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 238 hitters and struck out 615. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.
As a team, they are batting .247, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.32 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .293 and he has an OBP of .401. He has 86 hits this year along with 65 runs scored and 52 RBI. He's struck out 60 times and has walked on 51 occasions. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .264 and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 78 hits so far while he's scored 51 runs and drove in 70. He has earned a walk 42 times and has punched out 66 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 673 base hits, including 141 doubles and 116 homers. They have 25 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Toronto as a team has walked 301 times this year and they have struck out 664 times. They've had 540 men left on base and have an OPS of .762. They score 4.73 runs per game and have totaled 383 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 39-33-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 43-35-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 32-45-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 41-40-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
Toronto Blue Jays
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 15-day DL (6/26)
06/17/16 RF Jose Bautista Toe 15-day DL (6/17)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 60-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Indians
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