Monday, August 22, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Chad Bettis vs. Jimmy Nelson
The Colorado Rockies visit Miller Park on Monday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Chad Bettis for the Rockies and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Colorado at +105 and Milwaukee at -115. The over/under was set at 9. The Rockies have a 57-62-4 over/under record and a 68-55-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Brewers are 61-61-0 against the run line and have a 58-57-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Rockies head into this matchup with a 59-64 record, including 28-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Chad Bettis has a 10-6 record with an earned run average of 5.29 and a WHIP of 1.49. He has 106 strikeouts over his 141.1 innings pitched and he has given up 168 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.23. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.80 and they have given up 428 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the bullpen while being struck out 359 times and walking 150 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.64 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.43 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.92. The Rockies pitchers have collectively given up 1,163 base hits and 593 earned runs. They have allowed 130 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a pitching staff has walked 406 batters and struck out 897. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.31.
As a team, Colorado is batting .273, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .245 average away from home. The Rockies hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.41 hits per game. Nolan Arenado comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .347. He has 128 hits this season along with 88 runs scored and 98 runs batted in. He's struck out 70 times and has walked 54 times. Carlos Gonzalez is hitting .319 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 139 hits so far while scoring 73 runs and he's driven in 80. He has walked 35 times and has struck out 100 times. The Rockies have 1,158 hits, including 243 doubles and 155 home runs. They've stolen 52 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 32 times. Colorado has walked 395 times this season and they've struck out 997 times as a unit. They've left 826 men on base and have a team OPS of .794. They score 5.28 runs per contest and have scored a total of 649 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 33-29 home record and a 52-70 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.31, Jimmy Nelson has a 6-13 record and a 1.49 WHIP. He has 112 strikeouts over the 142 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 145 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.06. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 416 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 380 times and walking 169 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.31 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.35 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,114 base knocks and 524 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 142 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 421 hitters and struck out 880. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.55.
As a team, they are batting .247, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Brewers hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.11 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .300 and he has an OBP of .384. He has 134 hits this year along with 66 runs scored and 43 RBI. He's struck out 134 times and has walked on 62 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .319 and he has an OBP of .380. He has collected 122 hits so far while he's scored 62 runs and drove in 68. He has earned a walk 36 times and has punched out 69 times. The Brewers as a unit have 989 base hits, including 182 doubles and 135 homers. They have 137 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 43 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 467 times this year and they have struck out 1,153 times. They've had 838 men left on base and have an OPS of .726. They score 4.07 runs per game and have totaled 497 runs so far this season.
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 57-62-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 68-55-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 58-57-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 61-61-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/21/16 CF Charlie Blackmon Toe is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Chicago Cubs
08/17/16 P Tyler Chatwood Back 15-day DL (8/15)
08/12/16 1B Mark Reynolds Hand 15-day DL (8/11)
08/02/16 SS Trevor Story Thumb 15-day DL (8/2), out for season
07/27/16 P Jason Motte Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
07/06/16 P Justin Miller Oblique 15-day DL (7/3)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25), out for season
08/17/16 P Michael Blazek Forearm 15-day DL (8/14)
08/16/16 P Chase Anderson Quad "?" for next scheduled start
08/09/16 P Junior Guerra Elbow 15-day DL (8/4)
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Rockies
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