Saturday, October 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jordan Zimmermann vs. Aaron Blair
The Detroit Tigers visit Turner Field on Saturday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Jordan Zimmermann for the Tigers and Aaron Blair for the Braves. The Tigers have a 80-71-7 over/under record and a 85-73-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Braves are 83-75-0 against the run line and have a 82-67-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Tigers head into this matchup with a 85-73 record, including 40-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Jordan Zimmermann has a 9-6 record with an earned run average of 4.88 and a WHIP of 1.36. He has 64 strikeouts over his 101.1 innings pitched and he has given up 115 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.29. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have given up 497 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen while being struck out 438 times and walking 181 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 8.96 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.74 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 1,397 base hits and 664 earned runs. They have allowed 178 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 456 batters and struck out 1,206. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.16.
As a team, Detroit is batting .268, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .261 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.2 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera comes into this game hitting .313 and his on-base percentage is at .392. He has 182 hits this season along with 89 runs scored and 105 runs batted in. He's struck out 113 times and has walked 75 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 175 hits so far while scoring 116 runs and he's driven in 81. He has walked 44 times and has struck out 111 times. The Tigers have 1,453 hits, including 247 doubles and 206 home runs. They've stolen 58 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Detroit has walked 486 times this season and they've struck out 1,268 times as a unit. They've left 1,085 men on base and have a team OPS of .770. They score 4.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 741 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 29-49 home record and a 66-92 overall mark. With an earned run average of 8.02, Aaron Blair has a 1-7 record and a 1.73 WHIP. He has 36 strikeouts over the 64 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 78 hits. He has allowed 11 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.49. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 530 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 533 times and walking 253 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.55 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,391 base knocks and 716 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 172 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 540 hitters and struck out 1,192. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.33.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .262 average at home. The Braves hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.76 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .271 and he has an OBP of .348. He has 160 hits this year along with 66 runs scored and 88 RBI. He's struck out 99 times and has walked on 70 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .306 and he has an OBP of .404. He has collected 177 hits so far while he's scored 101 runs and drove in 88. He has earned a walk 88 times and has punched out 167 times. The Braves as a unit have 1,384 base hits, including 294 doubles and 118 homers. They have 74 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 496 times this year and they have struck out 1,214 times. They've had 1,143 men left on base and have an OPS of .706. They score 4.06 runs per game and have totaled 641 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 80-71-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 85-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 82-67-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 83-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
09/18/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 60-day DL (8/25)
09/17/16 C A.J. Pierzynski Hamstring 60-day DL (9/11)
09/14/16 P Williams Perez Tricep "?" for next start
09/02/16 P Eric O'Flaherty Elbow 60-day DL (8/18)
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 60-day DL (7/31)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers
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