Sunday, October 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs. Julio Teheran
The Detroit Tigers head to Turner Field on Sunday to take on the Atlanta Braves. The probable pitchers are Justin Verlander for the Tigers and Julio Teheran for the Braves. The Tigers have a 80-71-8 over/under mark and a 86-73-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Braves are 83-76-0 against the run line and have a 82-67-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Tigers head into this game with a 86-73 record, and they are 41-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Justin Verlander has a 16-8 record with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.00. He has 246 strikeouts during his 220.2 innings pitched and he has given up 165 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.55. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have allowed 498 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the pen while they've been struck out 442 times and walked 181 times this year. As a unit, Detroit has given up 8.94 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.76 hitters per nine. They are 20th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.25. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 1,403 base hits and 666 earned runs. They have allowed 180 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 458 batters and struck out 1,218. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.16.
As a team, Detroit is hitting .268, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .262 average on the road. The Tigers have a .440 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .332 which is good for 5th in the league. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.21 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this game hitting .315 and his on-base percentage is at .393. He has 185 hits this season along with 92 runs scored and 108 runs batted in. He's struck out 113 times and has walked 75 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .290 and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 177 hits so far while scoring 117 runs and he's driven in 82. He has walked 44 times and has struck out 113 times. The Tigers have 1,464 hits, including 248 doubles and 210 home runs. They've stolen 58 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Detroit has walked 489 times this season and they've struck out 1,276 times as a unit. They've left 1,094 men on base and have a team OPS of .772. They score 4.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 747 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this game with a 29-50 home mark and a 66-93 overall record. With an ERA of 3.33, Julio Teheran has a 6-10 record and a 1.07 WHIP. He has 155 strikeouts over the 181 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 154 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.82. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.97 and they have given up 532 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 538 times and walking 254 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.55 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,402 base knocks and 722 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 176 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 543 hitters and struck out 1,200. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .261 average at home. The Braves hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.74 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .270 and he has an OBP of .347. He has 160 hits this year along with 66 runs scored and 88 RBI. He's struck out 101 times and has walked on 70 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .304 and he has an OBP of .403. He has collected 177 hits so far while he's scored 101 runs and drove in 88. He has earned a walk 89 times and has punched out 169 times. The Braves as a unit have 1,390 base hits, including 294 doubles and 120 homers. They have 74 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 498 times this year and they have struck out 1,226 times. They've had 1,150 men left on base and have an OPS of .706. They score 4.04 runs per game and have totaled 643 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 80-71-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 86-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 82-67-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 83-76-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
09/30/16 P Tyrell Jenkins Undisclosed injured last game, "?" next start
09/18/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 60-day DL (8/25)
09/17/16 C A.J. Pierzynski Hamstring 60-day DL (9/11)
09/14/16 P Williams Perez Tricep "?" for next start
09/02/16 P Eric O'Flaherty Elbow 60-day DL (8/18)
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 60-day DL (7/31)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Braves
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