Sunday, May 15, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Michael Fulmer vs. Kevin Gausman
The Detroit Tigers visit Oriole Park on Sunday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Michael Fulmer for the Tigers and Kevin Gausman for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +155 and Baltimore at -165. The over/under was set at 9. The Tigers have a 23-12-0 over/under record and a 19-16-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Orioles are 19-15-0 against the run line and have a 14-18-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.
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The Tigers head into this matchup with a 15-20 record, including 10-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Fulmer has a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 6.00 and a WHIP of 2.00. He has 16 strikeouts over his 15 innings pitched and he has given up 24 hits so far this season. He has allowed 14.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.75. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have given up 116 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .278 against the bullpen while being struck out 75 times and walking 32 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.9 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 324 base hits and 150 earned runs. They have allowed 36 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 114 batters and struck out 235. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.
As a team, Detroit is batting .255, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .264 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.77 hits per game. Nick Castellanos comes into this game hitting .358 and his on-base percentage is at .385. He has 43 hits this season along with 15 runs scored and 28 runs batted in. He's struck out 29 times and has walked 7 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .295 and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 43 hits so far while scoring 29 runs and he's driven in 17. He has walked 9 times and has struck out 25 times. The Tigers have 307 hits, including 54 doubles and 39 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Detroit has walked 100 times this season and they've struck out 320 times as a unit. They've left 240 men on base and have a team OPS of .716. They score 4.2 runs per contest and have scored a total of 147 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 15-5 home record and a 22-12 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.16, Kevin Gausman has a 0-1 record and a 0.80 WHIP. He has 23 strikeouts over the 25 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 15 hits. He has allowed 5.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.20 and they have given up 92 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 100 times and walking 41 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.74 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.47. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 280 base knocks and 116 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 22 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 107 hitters and struck out 259. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 3.52.
As a team, they are batting .272, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .275 average at home. The Orioles hold a .460 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.18 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .350 and he has an OBP of .405. He has 49 hits this year along with 29 runs scored and 23 RBI. He's struck out 22 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Mark Trumbo is hitting .308 and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 41 hits so far while he's scored 19 runs and drove in 27. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 37 times. The Orioles as a unit have 312 base hits, including 62 doubles and 50 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 104 times this year and they have struck out 273 times. They've had 224 men left on base and have an OPS of .795. They score 4.59 runs per game and have totaled 156 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 23-12-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 19-16-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 14-18-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 19-15-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/28/16 P Shane Greene Finger 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 CF Cameron Maybin Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
03/31/16 3B Jimmy Paredes Wrist 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers
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