Tuesday, July 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Pelfrey vs. Steven Wright
The Detroit Tigers head to Fenway Park on Tuesday to take on the Boston Red Sox. The probable pitchers are Mike Pelfrey for the Tigers and Steven Wright for the Red Sox. The opening line for this game has Detroit at +180 and Boston at -190. The over/under is 11. The Tigers have a 51-43-5 over/under mark and a 56-43-0 run line record, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Red Sox are 49-47-0 against the run line and have a 51-40-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Tigers head into this game with a 51-48 record, and they are 25-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Pelfrey has a 3-9 record with an ERA of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.76. He has 47 strikeouts during his 105.1 innings pitched and he has given up 142 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 12.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.19. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have allowed 318 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the pen while they've been struck out 261 times and walked 103 times this year. As a unit, Detroit has given up 9.3 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.48 hitters per nine. They are 23rd in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.44. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 904 base hits and 432 earned runs. They have allowed 102 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 292 batters and struck out 727. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.
As a team, Detroit is hitting .265, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .257 average on the road. The Tigers have a .434 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .325 which is good for 13th in the league. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.12 hits per contest. Ian Kinsler comes into this game hitting .294 and his on-base percentage is at .349. He has 117 hits this season along with 80 runs scored and 57 runs batted in. He's struck out 77 times and has walked 27 times. Nick Castellanos is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .336. He has totaled 108 hits so far while scoring 48 runs and he's driven in 55. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 93 times. The Tigers have 903 hits, including 152 doubles and 128 home runs. They've stolen 42 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Detroit has walked 293 times this season and they've struck out 822 times as a unit. They've left 674 men on base and have a team OPS of .759. They score 4.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 458 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this game with a 34-22 home mark and a 55-41 overall record. With an ERA of 2.67, Steven Wright has a 12-5 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 107 strikeouts over the 128 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 102 hits. He has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.42. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.87 and they have given up 262 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 320 times and walking 113 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.82 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 841 base knocks and 418 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 111 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 301 hitters and struck out 810. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.
As a team, they are batting .291, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .304 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .478 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .357 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.31 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .307 and he has an OBP of .345. He has 127 hits this year along with 79 runs scored and 63 RBI. He's struck out 58 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .333 and he has an OBP of .389. He has collected 132 hits so far while he's scored 74 runs and drove in 61. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 64 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 990 base hits, including 230 doubles and 123 homers. They have 61 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Boston as a team has walked 333 times this year and they have struck out 676 times. They've had 712 men left on base and have an OPS of .835. They score 5.7 runs per game and have totaled 547 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 51-43-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 56-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 51-40-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 49-47-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/06/16 P Daniel Norris Oblique 15-day DL (7/5)
07/04/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Neck 15-day DL (6/01)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23)
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
07/24/16 RF Mookie Betts Knee "?" Monday vs. Detroit Tigers
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
07/10/16 P Sean O'Sullivan Knee 15-day DL (7/10)
07/09/16 P Craig Kimbrel Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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