Thursday, May 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Michael Fulmer vs. Trevor Bauer
The Detroit Tigers visit Progressive Field on Thursday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Michael Fulmer for the Tigers and Trevor Bauer for the Indians. The Tigers have a 17-8-0 over/under record and a 15-10-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 60% of the time. The Indians are 9-14-0 against the run line and have a 11-10-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 39% of the time.
The Tigers head into this matchup with a 14-11 record, including 9-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Fulmer has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.60. He has 4 strikeouts over his 5 innings pitched and he has given up 7 hits so far this season. He has allowed 12.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.06. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.59 and they have given up 80 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen while being struck out 64 times and walking 23 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.24 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.01 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 3.89. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 228 base hits and 96 earned runs. They have allowed 20 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 84 batters and struck out 173. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 3.85.
As a team, Detroit is batting .271, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .286 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.48 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera comes into this game hitting .276 and his on-base percentage is at .343. He has 27 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 12 runs batted in. He's struck out 20 times and has walked 10 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .317 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 33 hits so far while scoring 22 runs and he's driven in 15. He has walked 6 times and has struck out 18 times. The Tigers have 237 hits, including 41 doubles and 31 home runs. They've stolen 8 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Detroit has walked 66 times this season and they've struck out 222 times as a unit. They've left 171 men on base and have a team OPS of .757. They score 4.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 118 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 4-5 home record and a 11-12 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.28, Trevor Bauer has a 1-0 record and a 1.63 WHIP. He has 18 strikeouts over the 15.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 18 hits. He has allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.17. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 56 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 64 times and walking 31 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.28 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 3.90. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 177 base knocks and 88 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 27 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 64 hitters and struck out 187. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.19 while their FIP as a staff is 3.99.
As a team, they are batting .247, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Indians hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.35 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this matchup batting .275 and he has an OBP of .324. He has 25 hits this year along with 14 runs scored and 13 RBI. He's struck out 29 times and has walked on 8 occasions. Francisco Lindor is hitting .315 and he has an OBP of .380. He has collected 28 hits so far while he's scored 15 runs and drove in 12. He has earned a walk 10 times and has punched out 19 times. The Indians as a unit have 192 base hits, including 42 doubles and 22 homers. They have 19 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 70 times this year and they have struck out 209 times. They've had 146 men left on base and have an OPS of .703. They score 4.3 runs per game and have totaled 99 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 17-8-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 15-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 11-10-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 9-14-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/28/16 P Shane Greene Finger 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 CF Cameron Maybin Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 15-day DL (5/2)
04/25/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24)
Guy's Pick: Take the Indians
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