Tuesday, September 20, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Boyd vs. Hector Santiago
The Detroit Tigers visit Target Field on Tuesday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Matt Boyd for the Tigers and Hector Santiago for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at -128 and Minnesota at +118. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Tigers have a 73-69-7 over/under record and a 79-70-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Twins are 77-73-0 against the run line and have a 90-52-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Tigers head into this matchup with a 79-70 record, including 37-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Boyd has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.31. He has 75 strikeouts over his 89.1 innings pitched and he has given up 89 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.72. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 468 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the bullpen while being struck out 408 times and walking 169 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.62 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 1,326 base hits and 628 earned runs. They have allowed 166 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 430 batters and struck out 1,122. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.16.
As a team, Detroit is batting .265, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .262 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.08 hits per game. Ian Kinsler comes into this game hitting .277 and his on-base percentage is at .335. He has 161 hits this season along with 106 runs scored and 78 runs batted in. He's struck out 108 times and has walked 40 times. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .309 and he has an on-base percentage of .387. He has totaled 169 hits so far while scoring 82 runs and he's driven in 91. He has walked 69 times and has struck out 105 times. The Tigers have 1,353 hits, including 228 doubles and 191 home runs. They've stolen 56 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 25 times. Detroit has walked 447 times this season and they've struck out 1,193 times as a unit. They've left 1,019 men on base and have a team OPS of .759. They score 4.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 677 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 29-46 home record and a 55-95 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.65, Hector Santiago has a 12-8 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 132 strikeouts over the 164.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 154 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.25. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.57 and they have given up 572 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 485 times and walking 179 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.35 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.10. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,517 base knocks and 756 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 209 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 438 hitters and struck out 1,091. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.61.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Twins hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.87 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .263 and he has an OBP of .364. He has 129 hits this year along with 68 runs scored and 49 RBI. He's struck out 92 times and has walked on 78 occasions. Brian Dozier is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 161 hits so far while he's scored 99 runs and drove in 98. He has earned a walk 59 times and has punched out 124 times. The Twins as a unit have 1,331 base hits, including 272 doubles and 186 homers. They have 85 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 27 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 473 times this year and they have struck out 1,303 times. They've had 1,054 men left on base and have an OPS of .745. They score 4.55 runs per game and have totaled 683 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 73-69-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 79-70-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 90-52-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 77-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/07/16 3B Nick Castellanos Hand 15-day DL (8/7)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
09/18/16 C Kurt Suzuki Chin "?"
09/16/16 3B Miguel Sano Back out indefinitely
09/14/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (9/12); out for season
09/10/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Oblique 15-day DL
08/29/16 CF Danny Santana Shoulder 60-day DL (8/29); out for season
08/24/16 DH Byung Ho Park Wrist out for season
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers
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