Wednesday, April 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Collin McHugh vs. Hisashi Iwakuma
The Houston Astros visit Safeco Field on Wednesday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Collin McHugh for the Astros and Hisashi Iwakuma for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Houston at +120 and Seattle at -130. The over/under was set at 7. The Astros have a 11-8-1 over/under record and a 6-14-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 30% of the time. The Mariners are 11-8-0 against the run line and have a 6-12-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 58% of the time.
The Astros head into this matchup with a 6-14 record, including 2-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Collin McHugh has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 7.56 and a WHIP of 2.10. He has 14 strikeouts over his 16.2 innings pitched and he has given up 31 hits so far this season. He has allowed 16.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.9. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.01 and they have given up 63 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen while being struck out 71 times and walking 17 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 10.13 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.61 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.78. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 197 base hits and 93 earned runs. They have allowed 27 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 57 batters and struck out 148. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.39.
As a team, Houston is batting .243, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .239 average away from home. The Astros hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.15 hits per game. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .321 and his on-base percentage is at .409. He has 26 hits this season along with 17 runs scored and 11 runs batted in. He's struck out 13 times and has walked 9 times. Carlos Correa is hitting .292 and he has an on-base percentage of .378. He has totaled 21 hits so far while scoring 10 runs and he's driven in 8. He has walked 9 times and has struck out 17 times. The Astros have 163 hits, including 42 doubles and 27 home runs. They've stolen 18 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Houston has walked 69 times this season and they've struck out 202 times as a unit. They've left 134 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 3.9 runs per contest and have scored a total of 78 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 2-5 home record and a 10-9 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.81, Hisashi Iwakuma has a 0-2 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 18 strikeouts over the 26 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 28 hits. He has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.23. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.70 and they have given up 35 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .174 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 60 times and walking 18 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 7.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.63 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.37. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 147 base knocks and 64 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 19 home runs this year and they give up 1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 58 hitters and struck out 164. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.71.
As a team, they are batting .223, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .168 average at home. The Mariners hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.47 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .274 and he has an OBP of .357. He has 20 hits this year along with 9 runs scored and 12 RBI. He's struck out 14 times and has walked on 8 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .224 and he has an OBP of .306. He has collected 17 hits so far while he's scored 10 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 12 times. The Mariners as a unit have 142 base hits, including 24 doubles and 26 homers. They have 6 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Seattle as a team has walked 64 times this year and they have struck out 148 times. They've had 122 men left on base and have an OPS of .691. They score 4.11 runs per game and have totaled 78 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 11-8-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 6-14-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 6-12-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 11-8-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/04/16 P Lance McCuller Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/02/16 C Max Stassi Wrist 15-day DL (3/29)
04/25/16 P Joaquin Benoit Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners
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