Saturday, October 15, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kenta Maeda vs. Jon Lester
The Los Angeles Dodgers head to Wrigley Field on Saturday to take on the Chicago Cubs. The probable pitchers are Kenta Maeda for the Dodgers and Jon Lester for the Cubs. The Dodgers have a 69-83-10 over/under mark and a 81-81-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Cubs are 87-75-0 against the run line and have a 75-79-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
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The Dodgers head into this game with a 91-71 record, and they are 38-43 on the road. Starting pitcher Kenta Maeda has a 16-11 record with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 179 strikeouts during his 175.2 innings pitched and he has given up 150 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.58. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.35 and they have allowed 481 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the pen while they've been struck out 633 times and walked 204 times this year. As a unit, Los Angeles has given up 9.37 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.19 hitters per nine. They are 21st in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.28. The Dodgers pitchers have collectively given up 1,266 base hits and 598 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 464 batters and struck out 1,510. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.19 and their FIP as a unit is 3.61.
As a team, Los Angeles is hitting .260, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .264 average on the road. The Dodgers have a .405 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .322 which is good for 14th in the league. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.7 hits per contest. Justin Turner comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .339. He has 153 hits this season along with 79 runs scored and 90 runs batted in. He's struck out 107 times and has walked 48 times. Josh Reddick is hitting .281 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 112 hits so far while scoring 53 runs and he's driven in 37. He has walked 39 times and has struck out 56 times. The Dodgers have 1,375 hits, including 272 doubles and 189 home runs. They've stolen 45 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 26 times. Los Angeles has walked 525 times this season and they've struck out 1,321 times as a unit. They've left 1,106 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 725 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this game with a 57-24 home mark and a 103-58 overall record. With an ERA of 2.44, Jon Lester has a 19-5 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 197 strikeouts over the 202.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 154 hits. He has allowed 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.41. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 365 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 519 times and walking 199 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.92 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.88 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.13. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,125 base knocks and 511 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 163 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 495 hitters and struck out 1,441. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.11 while their FIP as a staff is 3.77.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .254 average at home. The Cubs hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.7 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .292 and he has an OBP of .385. He has 176 hits this year along with 121 runs scored and 102 RBI. He's struck out 154 times and has walked on 75 occasions. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .292 and he has an OBP of .385. He has collected 170 hits so far while he's scored 94 runs and drove in 109. He has earned a walk 74 times and has punched out 108 times. The Cubs as a unit have 1,409 base hits, including 293 doubles and 199 homers. They have 66 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Chicago as a team has walked 656 times this year and they have struck out 1,339 times. They've had 1,217 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They score 4.99 runs per game and have totaled 808 runs so far this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 69-83-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 81-81-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 75-79-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 87-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Los Angeles Dodgers
10/04/16 P Adam Liberatore Elbow out for season
09/10/16 P Carlos Frias Oblique 60-day DL (9/9)
08/10/16 LF Scott Van Slyke Wrist 60-day DL (8/8)
07/21/16 P Chris Hatcher Oblique 60-day DL (7/20)
07/19/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Elbow 15-day DL (7/9)
07/16/16 LF Trayce Thompson Back 60-day DL (7/10)
05/24/16 P Chin-Hui Tsao Tricep 60-day DL (5/22)
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 60-day DL (4/23)
10/12/16 P Kyle Hendricks Forearm probable Sunday vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Cubs
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