Saturday, May 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Alex Wood vs. Cesar Vargas
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit Petco Park on Saturday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Alex Wood for the Dodgers and Cesar Vargas for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has Los Angeles at -139 and San Diego at +129. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Dodgers have a 17-21-3 over/under record and a 19-22-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Padres are 27-15-0 against the run line and have a 18-23-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 64% of the time.
The Dodgers head into this matchup with a 21-21 record, including 11-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Alex Wood has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.30. He has 42 strikeouts over his 45.1 innings pitched and he has given up 44 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.87. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 96 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the bullpen while being struck out 111 times and walking 45 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 8.91 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.13 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Dodgers pitchers have collectively given up 317 base hits and 152 earned runs. They have allowed 37 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 111 batters and struck out 362. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.47.
As a team, Los Angeles is batting .255, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .269 average away from home. The Dodgers hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.46 hits per game. Adrian Gonzalez comes into this game hitting .282 and his on-base percentage is at .362. He has 40 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 20 runs batted in. He's struck out 35 times and has walked 19 times. Corey Seager is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .341. He has totaled 46 hits so far while scoring 26 runs and he's driven in 21. He has walked 13 times and has struck out 27 times. The Dodgers have 345 hits, including 67 doubles and 39 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Los Angeles has walked 136 times this season and they've struck out 316 times as a unit. They've left 292 men on base and have a team OPS of .696. They score 4.21 runs per contest and have scored a total of 177 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 8-14 home record and a 17-25 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.55, Cesar Vargas has a 0-2 record and a 1.70 WHIP. He has 20 strikeouts over the 25.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 31 hits. He has allowed 11 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.6. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 131 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 138 times and walking 65 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.38 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 354 base knocks and 161 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 40 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 165 hitters and struck out 349. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.07.
As a team, they are batting .226, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .215 average at home. The Padres hold a .357 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .281 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.55 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .258 and he has an OBP of .285. He has 42 hits this year along with 22 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 44 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .284 and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 42 hits so far while he's scored 15 runs and drove in 14. He has earned a walk 11 times and has punched out 35 times. The Padres as a unit have 317 base hits, including 66 doubles and 36 homers. They have 26 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. San Diego as a team has walked 101 times this year and they have struck out 391 times. They've had 253 men left on base and have an OPS of .638. They score 3.5 runs per game and have totaled 147 runs so far this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 17-21-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 19-22-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 18-23-1 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 27-15-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Los Angeles Dodgers
05/20/16 1B Adrian Gonzalez Back is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Friday vs. San Diego Padres
05/03/16 P Josh Ravin Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 15-day DL (4/23)
04/11/16 LF Scott Van Slyke Back 15-day DL (4/10)
04/05/16 P Brandon McCarthy Elbow 60-day DL (2/19)
04/05/16 P Frankie Montas Ribs 60-day DL (2/20)
04/04/16 P Brett Anderson Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 3B Alex Guerrero Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 LF Andre Ethier Leg 60-day DL (3/25)
San Diego Padres
05/13/16 P Andrew Cashner Hamstring 15-day DL (5/9)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/11/16 3B Yangervis Solarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/10)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/08/16 P Matt Thornton Achilles 15-day DL (4/4)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Dodgers
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