Friday, May 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Conley vs. Williams Perez
The Miami Marlins visit Turner Field on Friday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Adam Conley for the Marlins and Williams Perez for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -134 and Atlanta at +124. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Marlins have a 24-22-1 over/under record and a 24-23-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Braves are 18-27-0 against the run line and have a 21-20-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 40% of the time.
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The Marlins head into this matchup with a 25-22 record, including 15-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Conley has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.43. He has 45 strikeouts over his 47.2 innings pitched and he has given up 45 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.59. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.32 and they have given up 139 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen while being struck out 148 times and walking 75 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.56 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.16 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 388 base hits and 180 earned runs. They have allowed 34 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 193 batters and struck out 370. They walk 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 3.89.
As a team, Miami is batting .274, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .283 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.41 hits per game. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this game hitting .214 and his on-base percentage is at .326. He has 33 hits this season along with 21 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 25 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .320 and he has an on-base percentage of .420. He has totaled 47 hits so far while scoring 24 runs and he's driven in 20. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 29 times. The Marlins have 433 hits, including 80 doubles and 42 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Miami has walked 135 times this season and they've struck out 361 times as a unit. They've left 354 men on base and have a team OPS of .751. They score 3.96 runs per contest and have scored a total of 182 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 2-19 home record and a 12-33 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.86, Williams Perez has a 2-1 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 16 strikeouts over the 32.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 26 hits. He has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.01. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 155 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 168 times and walking 75 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.93 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.37. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 400 base knocks and 198 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 44 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 154 hitters and struck out 359. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.01.
As a team, they are batting .231, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .231 average at home. The Braves hold a .317 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 7.89 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .234 and he has an OBP of .347. He has 39 hits this year along with 16 runs scored and 24 RBI. He's struck out 31 times and has walked on 28 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .256 and he has an OBP of .346. He has collected 43 hits so far while he's scored 19 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 47 times. The Braves as a unit have 355 base hits, including 67 doubles and 19 homers. They have 20 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 132 times this year and they have struck out 361 times. They've had 319 men left on base and have an OPS of .613. They score 3.11 runs per game and have totaled 140 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 24-22-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 24-23-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 21-20-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 18-27-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/26/16 LF Christian Yelich Back "?" Friday vs. Atlanta Braves
05/26/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Side "?" Friday vs. Atlanta Braves
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
05/11/16 P Jim Johnson Groin 15-day DL (5/9)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins
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