Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Jose Urena vs. Anthony DeSclafani
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The Miami Marlins head to Great American Ball Park on Tuesday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The probable pitchers are Jose Urena for the Marlins and Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds. The opening line for this game has Miami at +130 and Cincinnati at -140. The over/under is 8.5. The Marlins have a 61-54-2 over/under mark and a 59-58-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Reds are 62-54-0 against the run line and have a 62-44-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Marlins head into this game with a 61-56 record, and they are 30-28 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Urena has a 1-3 record with an ERA of 6.69 and a WHIP of 1.57. He has 25 strikeouts during his 36.1 innings pitched and he has given up 42 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.68. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have allowed 345 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the pen while they've been struck out 411 times and walked 183 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.46 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.71 hitters per nine. They are 10th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.00. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 983 base hits and 465 earned runs. They have allowed 108 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 425 batters and struck out 1,013. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 3.91.
As a team, Miami is hitting .271, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .285 average on the road. The Marlins have a .408 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .330 which is good for 6th in the league. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.42 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this game hitting .321 and his on-base percentage is at .374. He has 141 hits this season along with 56 runs scored and 54 runs batted in. He's struck out 51 times and has walked 37 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .317 and he has an on-base percentage of .387. He has totaled 133 hits so far while scoring 61 runs and he's driven in 67. He has walked 46 times and has struck out 98 times. The Marlins have 1,102 hits, including 204 doubles and 96 home runs. They've stolen 43 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Miami has walked 333 times this season and they've struck out 885 times as a unit. They've left 864 men on base and have a team OPS of .738. They score 4.28 runs per contest and have scored a total of 501 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this game with a 26-29 home mark and a 48-68 overall record. With an ERA of 3.11, Anthony DeSclafani has a 6-1 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 63 strikeouts over the 72.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 70 hits. He has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.93. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.05 and they have given up 408 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 385 times and walking 217 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.65 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.04. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,053 base knocks and 580 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 189 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 470 hitters and struck out 880. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 5.34.
As a team, they are batting .246, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .248 average at home. The Reds hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.3 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .303 and he has an OBP of .429. He has 118 hits this year along with 72 runs scored and 62 RBI. He's struck out 102 times and has walked on 84 occasions. Zack Cozart is hitting .265 and he has an OBP of .311. He has collected 108 hits so far while he's scored 61 runs and drove in 46. He has earned a walk 27 times and has punched out 71 times. The Reds as a unit have 962 base hits, including 195 doubles and 126 homers. They have 106 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 36 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 319 times this year and they have struck out 951 times. They've had 683 men left on base and have an OPS of .709. They score 4.41 runs per game and have totaled 511 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 61-54-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 59-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 62-44-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 62-54-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
08/14/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Groin 15-day DL (8/14); out for season
08/09/16 P A.J. Ramos Finger 15-day DL (8/6)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
08/14/16 2B Brandon Phillips Knee injured last game, "?" Monday vs. Miami Marlins
08/04/16 P A.J. Morris Shoulder 15-day DL (6/16)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/22)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
Tony's Pick: Take the Reds
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