Tuesday, June 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Conley vs. Pat Dean
The Miami Marlins head to Target Field on Tuesday to take on the Minnesota Twins. The probable pitchers are Adam Conley for the Marlins and Pat Dean for the Twins. The opening line for this game has Miami at -110 and Minnesota at +100. The over/under is 8.5. The Marlins have a 29-27-1 over/under mark and a 27-30-0 run line record, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Twins are 23-33-0 against the run line and have a 31-22-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 41% of the time.
The Marlins head into this game with a 30-27 record, and they are 16-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Conley has a 3-3 record with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.41. He has 57 strikeouts during his 58 innings pitched and he has given up 55 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.49. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.00 and they have allowed 174 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the pen while they've been struck out 187 times and walked 93 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.4 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.52 hitters per nine. They are 12th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.93. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 474 base hits and 222 earned runs. They have allowed 41 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 228 batters and struck out 481. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 3.76.
As a team, Miami is hitting .266, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .282 average on the road. The Marlins have a .404 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .324 which is good for 14th in the league. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.14 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this game hitting .314 and his on-base percentage is at .364. He has 66 hits this season along with 35 runs scored and 29 runs batted in. He's struck out 49 times and has walked 17 times. Martin Prado is hitting .305 and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 64 hits so far while scoring 20 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 12 times and has struck out 25 times. The Marlins have 521 hits, including 99 doubles and 48 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Miami has walked 161 times this season and they've struck out 430 times as a unit. They've left 430 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 3.84 runs per contest and have scored a total of 219 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this game with a 9-18 home mark and a 16-40 overall record. With an ERA of 4.15, Pat Dean has a 1-2 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He has 23 strikeouts over the 26 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.16. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 210 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .275 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 194 times and walking 64 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.09 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.08 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.04. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 553 base knocks and 276 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 82 home runs this year and they give up 1.5 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 159 hitters and struck out 443. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.54.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Twins hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.3 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .281 and he has an OBP of .388. He has 56 hits this year along with 19 runs scored and 21 RBI. He's struck out 39 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .335 and he has an OBP of .363. He has collected 61 hits so far while he's scored 27 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 30 times. The Twins as a unit have 465 base hits, including 91 doubles and 57 homers. They have 37 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 171 times this year and they have struck out 499 times. They've had 401 men left on base and have an OPS of .700. They score 3.73 runs per game and have totaled 209 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 29-27-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 27-30-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 31-22-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 23-33-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
06/04/16 P Alex Meyer Shoulder 15-day DL
05/31/16 CF Danny Santana Hamstring 15-day DL (5/31)
05/31/16 3B Miguel Sano Hamstring 15-day DL (6/1)
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Back 15-day DL (4/23)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11)
Guy's Pick: Take the Twins
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