Thursday, July 21, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Tom Koehler vs. Jerad Eickhoff
The Miami Marlins visit Citizens Bank Park on Thursday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Tom Koehler for the Marlins and Jerad Eickhoff for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -108 and Philadelphia at -102. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Marlins have a 48-44-1 over/under record and a 48-45-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Phillies are 47-48-0 against the run line and have a 44-49-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 51-42 record, including 27-23 on the road. Starting pitcher Tom Koehler has a 6-8 record with an earned run average of 4.68 and a WHIP of 1.60. He has 79 strikeouts over his 100 innings pitched and he has given up 108 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.32. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.59 and they have given up 257 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen while being struck out 321 times and walking 135 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.73 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.98. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 763 base hits and 367 earned runs. They have allowed 92 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 329 batters and struck out 805. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 3.99.
As a team, Miami is batting .271, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .284 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.44 hits per game. Martin Prado comes into this game hitting .316 and his on-base percentage is at .367. He has 110 hits this season along with 40 runs scored and 32 runs batted in. He's struck out 42 times and has walked 28 times. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .304 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 103 hits so far while scoring 54 runs and he's driven in 50. He has walked 28 times and has struck out 77 times. The Marlins have 878 hits, including 154 doubles and 79 home runs. They've stolen 32 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Miami has walked 269 times this season and they've struck out 716 times as a unit. They've left 708 men on base and have a team OPS of .737. They score 4.18 runs per contest and have scored a total of 389 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 22-27 home record and a 43-52 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.76, Jerad Eickhoff has a 6-10 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 97 strikeouts over the 115 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 113 hits. He has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.98. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 300 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 301 times and walking 116 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.51 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 843 base knocks and 401 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 120 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 257 hitters and struck out 796. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.
As a team, they are batting .239, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .218 average at home. The Phillies hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.92 hits per contest. Maikel Franco comes into this matchup batting .255 and he has an OBP of .307. He has 86 hits this year along with 37 runs scored and 55 RBI. He's struck out 69 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Odubel Herrera is hitting .285 and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 100 hits so far while he's scored 51 runs and drove in 33. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 75 times. The Phillies as a unit have 752 base hits, including 139 doubles and 92 homers. They have 40 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 221 times this year and they have struck out 755 times. They've had 568 men left on base and have an OPS of .678. They score 3.56 runs per game and have totaled 338 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 48-44-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 48-45-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 44-49-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 47-48-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks