Sunday, September 18, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
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Probable Pitchers: Andrew Cashner vs. Alec Asher
The Miami Marlins visit Citizens Bank Park on Sunday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Andrew Cashner for the Marlins and Alec Asher for the Phillies. The Marlins have a 74-70-3 over/under record and a 72-75-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Phillies are 76-72-0 against the run line and have a 70-72-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Marlins head into this matchup with a 73-74 record, including 37-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Andrew Cashner has a 5-11 record with an earned run average of 5.22 and a WHIP of 1.50. He has 99 strikeouts over his 119 innings pitched and he has given up 127 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.71. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 432 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 505 times and walking 233 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.64 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 1,234 base hits and 577 earned runs. They have allowed 135 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 539 batters and struck out 1,259. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 3.93.
As a team, Miami is batting .267, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .277 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.25 hits per game. Christian Yelich comes into this game hitting .301 and his on-base percentage is at .378. He has 160 hits this season along with 72 runs scored and 91 runs batted in. He's struck out 130 times and has walked 64 times. Martin Prado is hitting .311 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 174 hits so far while scoring 68 runs and he's driven in 70. He has walked 47 times and has struck out 64 times. The Marlins have 1,360 hits, including 245 doubles and 116 home runs. They've stolen 60 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Miami has walked 406 times this season and they've struck out 1,113 times as a unit. They've left 1,081 men on base and have a team OPS of .723. They score 4.12 runs per contest and have scored a total of 606 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 33-41 home record and a 66-82 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.46, Alec Asher has a 1-0 record and a 0.81 WHIP. He has 4 strikeouts over the 12.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 6 hits. He has allowed 4.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.47. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.58 and they have given up 490 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 466 times and walking 184 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.19 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,336 base knocks and 650 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 195 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 415 hitters and struck out 1,197. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.29.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .225 average at home. The Phillies hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.93 hits per contest. Cesar Hernandez comes into this matchup batting .288 and he has an OBP of .358. He has 143 hits this year along with 59 runs scored and 36 RBI. He's struck out 107 times and has walked on 54 occasions. Odubel Herrera is hitting .282 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 149 hits so far while he's scored 75 runs and drove in 43. He has earned a walk 60 times and has punched out 119 times. The Phillies as a unit have 1,173 base hits, including 216 doubles and 146 homers. They have 82 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 41 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 376 times this year and they have struck out 1,250 times. They've had 935 men left on base and have an OPS of .678. They score 3.66 runs per game and have totaled 541 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 74-70-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 72-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 70-72-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 76-72-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21), expected to be activated & start Monday vs. Washington Nationals
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
09/04/16 P Vincent Velasquez None out for season
08/17/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 60-day DL (7/29); out for season
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 60-day DL (8/9); out for season
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins
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