Saturday, August 20, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: David Phelps vs. Chad Kuhl
The Miami Marlins head to PNC Park on Saturday to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable pitchers are David Phelps for the Marlins and Chad Kuhl for the Pirates. The opening line for this game has Miami at +123 and Pittsburgh at -133. The over/under is 8. The Marlins have a 64-55-2 over/under mark and a 61-60-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Pirates are 58-60-0 against the run line and have a 67-49-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Marlins head into this game with a 62-59 record, and they are 31-31 on the road. Starting pitcher David Phelps has a 6-6 record with an ERA of 2.48 and a WHIP of 1.15. He has 86 strikeouts during his 69 innings pitched and he has given up 52 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.01. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.70 and they have allowed 353 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the pen while they've been struck out 424 times and walked 191 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.46 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.72 hitters per nine. They are 10th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.01. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 1,014 base hits and 481 earned runs. They have allowed 111 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 442 batters and struck out 1,046. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 3.92.
As a team, Miami is hitting .270, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .282 average on the road. The Marlins have a .407 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .329 which is good for 7th in the league. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.37 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this game hitting .327 and his on-base percentage is at .380. He has 149 hits this season along with 58 runs scored and 57 runs batted in. He's struck out 51 times and has walked 38 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .313 and he has an on-base percentage of .382. He has totaled 136 hits so far while scoring 63 runs and he's driven in 69. He has walked 47 times and has struck out 104 times. The Marlins have 1,134 hits, including 208 doubles and 101 home runs. They've stolen 46 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Miami has walked 344 times this season and they've struck out 922 times as a unit. They've left 891 men on base and have a team OPS of .736. They score 4.26 runs per contest and have scored a total of 516 runs so far this year.
Pittsburgh comes into this game with a 33-25 home mark and a 62-56 overall record. With an ERA of 3.73, Chad Kuhl has a 3-0 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 22 strikeouts over the 31.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.95. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.47 and they have given up 388 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 359 times and walking 164 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.16 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.43 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.17. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,079 base knocks and 491 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 125 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 396 hitters and struck out 875. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.29.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .271 average at home. The Pirates hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.83 hits per contest. Starling Marte comes into this matchup batting .312 and he has an OBP of .369. He has 130 hits this year along with 65 runs scored and 40 RBI. He's struck out 91 times and has walked on 22 occasions. Jordy Mercer is hitting .266 and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 105 hits so far while he's scored 48 runs and drove in 44. He has earned a walk 41 times and has punched out 61 times. The Pirates as a unit have 1,042 base hits, including 205 doubles and 112 homers. They have 90 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 35 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 390 times this year and they have struck out 978 times. They've had 839 men left on base and have an OPS of .735. They score 4.58 runs per game and have totaled 541 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 64-55-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 61-60-0 against the run line so far this season
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 67-49-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 58-60-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
08/14/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Groin 15-day DL (8/14); out for season
08/09/16 P A.J. Ramos Finger 15-day DL (8/6)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
07/24/16 P Tyler Glasnow Shoulder 15-day DL (7/24)
07/04/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 15-day DL (7/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates
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