Sunday, August 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jose Urena vs. Ryan Vogelsong
The Miami Marlins visit PNC Park on Sunday to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable starters are Jose Urena for the Marlins and Ryan Vogelsong for the Pirates. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +126 and Pittsburgh at -136. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Marlins have a 65-55-2 over/under record and a 62-60-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Pirates are 58-61-0 against the run line and have a 68-49-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 63-59 record, including 32-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Urena has a 1-4 record with an earned run average of 6.80 and a WHIP of 1.58. He has 30 strikeouts over his 42.1 innings pitched and he has given up 49 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.82. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.67 and they have given up 357 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 425 times and walking 195 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.48 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.67 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 1,026 base hits and 483 earned runs. They have allowed 112 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 446 batters and struck out 1,049. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 3.93.
As a team, Miami is batting .271, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .284 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.43 hits per game. Martin Prado comes into this game hitting .326 and his on-base percentage is at .379. He has 150 hits this season along with 58 runs scored and 58 runs batted in. He's struck out 52 times and has walked 39 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .317 and he has an on-base percentage of .386. He has totaled 139 hits so far while scoring 64 runs and he's driven in 71. He has walked 48 times and has struck out 105 times. The Marlins have 1,150 hits, including 208 doubles and 104 home runs. They've stolen 46 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Miami has walked 350 times this season and they've struck out 928 times as a unit. They've left 905 men on base and have a team OPS of .740. They score 4.28 runs per contest and have scored a total of 522 runs so far this year.
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup with a 33-26 home record and a 62-57 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.20, Ryan Vogelsong has a 2-2 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 28 strikeouts over the 39.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 37 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.6. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 392 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 360 times and walking 167 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.41 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.17. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,095 base knocks and 496 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 128 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 402 hitters and struck out 881. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .273 average at home. The Pirates hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.86 hits per contest. Starling Marte comes into this matchup batting .316 and he has an OBP of .374. He has 133 hits this year along with 65 runs scored and 41 RBI. He's struck out 92 times and has walked on 23 occasions. Jordy Mercer is hitting .264 and he has an OBP of .340. He has collected 105 hits so far while he's scored 49 runs and drove in 44. He has earned a walk 42 times and has punched out 61 times. The Pirates as a unit have 1,054 base hits, including 206 doubles and 113 homers. They have 91 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 36 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 394 times this year and they have struck out 981 times. They've had 846 men left on base and have an OPS of .737. They score 4.59 runs per game and have totaled 546 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 65-55-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 62-60-0 against the run line so far this season
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 68-49-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 58-61-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
08/14/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Groin 15-day DL (8/14); out for season
08/09/16 P A.J. Ramos Finger 15-day DL (8/6)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
07/24/16 P Tyler Glasnow Shoulder 15-day DL (7/24)
07/04/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 15-day DL (7/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins
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