Wednesday, June 15, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Justin Nicolino vs. Luis Perdomo
The Miami Marlins visit Petco Park on Wednesday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Justin Nicolino for the Marlins and Luis Perdomo for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -135 and San Diego at +125. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Marlins have a 34-29-1 over/under record and a 30-34-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Padres are 39-26-0 against the run line and have a 31-32-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 60% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 33-31 record, including 19-15 on the road. Starting pitcher Justin Nicolino has a 2-3 record with an earned run average of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.49. He has 24 strikeouts over his 51 innings pitched and he has given up 62 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.14. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.94 and they have given up 188 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen while being struck out 212 times and walking 103 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 541 base hits and 258 earned runs. They have allowed 55 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 243 batters and struck out 545. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.
As a team, Miami is batting .271, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .287 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.42 hits per game. Marcell Ozuna comes into this game hitting .318 and his on-base percentage is at .364. He has 77 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 37 runs batted in. He's struck out 56 times and has walked 18 times. Martin Prado is hitting .332 and he has an on-base percentage of .374. He has totaled 79 hits so far while scoring 26 runs and he's driven in 21. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 28 times. The Marlins have 603 hits, including 110 doubles and 53 home runs. They've stolen 18 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Miami has walked 178 times this season and they've struck out 486 times as a unit. They've left 483 men on base and have a team OPS of .734. They score 4.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 262 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 15-19 home record and a 26-39 overall mark. With an earned run average of 9.50, Luis Perdomo has a 1-2 record and a 2.28 WHIP. He has 31 strikeouts over the 36 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 63 hits. He has allowed 15.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.67. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.76 and they have given up 232 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 237 times and walking 108 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.93 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 581 base knocks and 294 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 258 hitters and struck out 546. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .232 average at home. The Padres hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.06 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .287 and he has an OBP of .328. He has 71 hits this year along with 41 runs scored and 38 RBI. He's struck out 56 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .283 and he has an OBP of .328. He has collected 71 hits so far while he's scored 31 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 58 times. The Padres as a unit have 524 base hits, including 102 doubles and 69 homers. They have 44 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. San Diego as a team has walked 159 times this year and they have struck out 589 times. They've had 395 men left on base and have an OPS of .675. They score 4 runs per game and have totaled 260 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 34-29-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 30-34-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 31-32-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 39-26-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
San Diego Padres
06/14/16 CF Travis Jankowski Ankle is not expected to be in the starting lineup Tuesday vs. Miami Marlins
06/12/16 P Andrew Cashner Neck 15-day DL (6/11)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins
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