Sunday, October 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson vs. German Marquez
The Milwaukee Brewers visit Coors Field on Sunday to play the Colorado Rockies. The probable starters are Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers and German Marquez for the Rockies. The Brewers have a 74-77-9 over/under record and a 84-76-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Rockies are 83-77-0 against the run line and have a 76-80-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Brewers head into this matchup with a 71-89 record, including 30-49 on the road. Starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson has a 8-16 record with an earned run average of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.52. He has 140 strikeouts over his 179.1 innings pitched and he has given up 186 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.12. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.62 and they have given up 510 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen while being struck out 479 times and walking 208 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.07 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.36 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.10. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 1,425 base hits and 644 earned runs. They have allowed 177 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 528 batters and struck out 1,157. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.39.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .244, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 8.01 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .304 and his on-base percentage is at .365. He has 154 hits this season along with 79 runs scored and 90 runs batted in. He's struck out 97 times and has walked 46 times. Jonathan Villar is hitting .284 and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 165 hits so far while scoring 91 runs and he's driven in 63. He has walked 77 times and has struck out 172 times. The Brewers have 1,282 hits, including 244 doubles and 191 home runs. They've stolen 178 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 55 times. Milwaukee has walked 591 times this season and they've struck out 1,517 times as a unit. They've left 1,056 men on base and have a team OPS of .729. They score 4.13 runs per contest and have scored a total of 661 runs so far this year.
Colorado comes into this matchup with a 42-37 home record and a 75-85 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.14, German Marquez has a 1-1 record and a 1.84 WHIP. He has 8 strikeouts over the 14.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 22 hits. He has allowed 13.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.26. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.10 and they have given up 554 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Rockies bullpen while being struck out 465 times and walking 202 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.68 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.64 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.92. The Rockies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,515 base knocks and 769 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 178 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a staff has walked 539 hitters and struck out 1,197. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.38.
As a team, they are batting .274, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .304 average at home. The Rockies hold a .458 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.49 hits per contest. Carlos Gonzalez comes into this matchup batting .298 and he has an OBP of .350. He has 171 hits this year along with 87 runs scored and 99 RBI. He's struck out 128 times and has walked on 46 occasions. Nolan Arenado is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .363. He has collected 180 hits so far while he's scored 115 runs and drove in 133. He has earned a walk 67 times and has punched out 102 times. The Rockies as a unit have 1,519 base hits, including 313 doubles and 203 homers. They have 66 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 37 times. Colorado as a team has walked 490 times this year and they have struck out 1,312 times. They've had 1,068 men left on base and have an OPS of .794. They score 5.24 runs per game and have totaled 838 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 74-77-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 84-76-0 against the run line so far this season
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 76-80-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 83-77-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/27/16 P Taylor Jungmann Hip out for season
09/21/16 CF Kirk Nieuwenhuis Oblique out indefinitely
09/18/16 P Junior Guerra None out for season
09/16/16 CF Keon Broxton Wrist out for season
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
09/30/16 P Tyler Anderson Soreness expected to miss next start Saturday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
09/20/16 1B Mark Reynolds Hand out for season
08/02/16 SS Trevor Story Thumb 15-day DL (8/2), out for season
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25), out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers
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